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Tesla stock

Discussion in 'Tesla' started by bwilson4web, Aug 6, 2018.

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  1. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    I refuse to answer that while 'she who must be obeyed' remains in my care.

    Bob Wilson
     
    #801 bwilson4web, Jul 6, 2020
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  2. Zythryn

    Zythryn Senior Member

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    Oddly enough, I don’t think so.
    Sure, I am sure some shorts are throwing in the towel. I don’t believe we have seen the cascading margin calls that force the stock price higher.
    If Tesla breaks even in second quarter, and/or gets included into the S&P500, then the fireworks really start :):):)
     
    #802 Zythryn, Jul 7, 2020
  3. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    irrational exuberance :cool:
     
    #803 bisco, Jul 7, 2020
  4. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    $1,700.!!! :eek::p

    congrats to all of you stockholders!(y)
     
    #804 bisco, Jul 13, 2020
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  5. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Calm my friend. A local peak is transitory.

    It only counts when you sell or buy.

    Bob Wilson
     
    #805 bwilson4web, Jul 13, 2020
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  6. iplug

    iplug Senior Member

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    Still long here.
     
    #806 iplug, Jul 13, 2020
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  7. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    i need to find that vulture capitalist who said it would drop to 400 before going to 7,000
     
    #807 bisco, Jul 13, 2020
  8. hill

    hill High Fiber Member

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    well the train did Come Back Inn around $600 but by the time I could get my order in it had had raced back up to $700. Oh Cry Me a River.
    .
     
    #808 hill, Jul 13, 2020
  9. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    ark investments. they actually sold 17% of their tesla holdings back in may, because it was throwing their portfolio out of whack
     
    #809 bisco, Jul 14, 2020
  10. markabele

    markabele owner of PiP, then Leaf, then Model 3

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    Thought about selling a few shares yesterday back when it was $1750 just to rebalance a bit. Didn't do it in time before it took a 16% downswing. Oh well. Still very long in the company. Easier to rebalance by buying more of everything else. (although not at these valuations, I believe we are in for a overall market drop at some point in the next few months)
     
    #810 markabele, Jul 14, 2020
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  11. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    i keep swinging back and forth between, 'the markets going to tank' and 'maybe we'll slide through it somehow'.
    but the former is based on known facts and data, and the latter is likely wishful thinking.
     
    #811 bisco, Jul 14, 2020
  12. markabele

    markabele owner of PiP, then Leaf, then Model 3

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    Ya, when people start to realize you actually have to have earnings to justify these valuations it's gonna be a blood bath. Some companies can get away with it due to bright futures (Tesla) but others (banks and most B&M retail) need earnings in the here and now.
     
    #812 markabele, Jul 14, 2020
  13. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    there will likely be a lot of unemployment coming as well. the street won't be happy
     
    #813 bisco, Jul 14, 2020
  14. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    With the 2020 Q2 financials coming out July 22, there is a lot of speculation about whether TSLA might join the S&P500. This is one of the better presentations:



    The irony is skeptics and SHORT sellers got me interested enough to look at and buy TSLA awhile back. Like the old saw, find the stupidest person around and do the opposite.

    Bob Wilson
     
    #814 bwilson4web, Jul 14, 2020
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  15. markabele

    markabele owner of PiP, then Leaf, then Model 3

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    I agree. I have listened to Rob's podcast for years now and am so impressed how far he has come as an analyst. He deserves all of his success he is having.
     
    #815 markabele, Jul 15, 2020
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  16. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Source: TSLA Short Interest / Tesla Motors, Inc.

    It appears there has been a change of sentiment on Monday, July 21. The SHORTs have 'backed off' and the stock shot up in the afternoon trading. I had anticipated Monday would be a tell but in the morning. Regardless, I've adjusted my small lot sell price, UP. Thursday, July 23 will be very interesting.

    Bob Wilson
     
    #816 bwilson4web, Jul 21, 2020
  17. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Financial advice is a cafeteria of various dishes that you can overfill your plate only to sit down and find the taste does not match the illusion: Tesla: S&P 500 Inclusion Could Hurt Shorts More (NASDAQ:TSLA) | Seeking Alpha

    • Shorts are covering shares at large mark-to-market losses as Tesla continues to rise, and short interest still remains around 13.9 million shares.
    • Inclusion in the S&P 500 and rising cost to borrow could put much more pressure on already pressured short positions.
    . . .
    Tesla (TSLA) has already cemented itself as one of the highest-flying stocks in July, rising to a high of almost $1800 intra-day (up 66% from June 30) with only half of the month gone. Tesla's momentum is quite ridiculous, but looks to be driven in part by short sellers, positive Q2 deliveries numbers, and S&P inclusion on the radar. Tesla is on the cusp of eligibility for inclusion in the S&P 500, with it only needing to show positive earnings through 4 consecutive quarters as well as a profitable most recent quarter.

    Q2 deliveries announced on July 2 blazed past analyst expectations, even with the Fremont production facility closed for much of the quarter due to California's reopening plan and procedures. Deliveries hit 90,650 vehicles, as analysts only expected 72,000 to be delivered due to the production facility closures. But deliveries aren't indicative of financial performance, and aren't indicative of a profitable quarter.
    . . .    ​

    Tuesday, July 21, and Wednesday, July 22, should be fascinating. I'll also enjoy seeing Thursday, July 23.

    Bob Wilson
     
    #817 bwilson4web, Jul 21, 2020
  18. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    i feel like everyone pulling their money out of volatile stocks are putting it into tesla
     
    #818 bisco, Jul 21, 2020
  19. ttou68

    ttou68 Active Member

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    It's been an incredible investment opportunity for many since 2nd half of last year, and it was fun buying and selling it for a while...

    Posted via the PriusChat mobile app.
     
    #819 ttou68, Jul 21, 2020
  20. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Source_1: TSLA - Short Squeeze Stock Short Interest for Tesla Motors Incorporated

    Short shares: 15,140,000 -> 13,960,000 (9.47%)
    Float shares: 147,360,000    ​

    Source_2: TSLA Short Interest / Tesla Motors, Inc.

    Market Date Short Volume Total Volume Short Volume Ratio
    2020-07-21 3,286,475 16,157,200 20.34
    2020-07-20 3,400,990 17,121,300 19.86
    2020-07-17 2,534,574 9,329,900 27.17
    2020-07-16 4,235,075 14,300,700 29.61
    2020-07-15 4,604,013 16,367,800 28.13
    2020-07-14 6,108,882 23,418,100 26.09    ​

    Looks like the SHORTs are headed to the exit ... fast.

    FYI, looks like Tesla made a modest profit.

    Bob Wilson
     
    #820 bwilson4web, Jul 22, 2020
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