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Car affordability in 2022 and beyond

Discussion in 'Fred's House of Pancakes' started by Leadfoot J. McCoalroller, Jul 2, 2022.

  1. Leadfoot J. McCoalroller

    Leadfoot J. McCoalroller Senior Member

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    Ouch! That's a bit steep.

    I hadn't thought to look for a while, so I just updated:

    I'm seeing Prius cs with stats like ours listed for about $17k. I think we paid $23k including interest. That's ~$1k/yr depreciation.

    Cars like our Mazda are listing around $20k, and we will have paid about $26.5k, so ~$1600/yr depreciation.

    True to trend, the newer & higher trim car showing more depreciation than the older value car.
     
  2. Salamander_King

    Salamander_King Senior Member

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    At least, mine is a PHEV, it does not have a traditional transmission as in the ICE version of Escape. And even if it goes wonky at 100,000 mile, I don't have to worry about it, that is well past what I plan to keep this car.

    The positive side is that I payed only $32k after incentives for this $43k MSRP SUV. $4k or 12.5% actual depreciation in the first year is much more tolerable.
     
  3. Leadfoot J. McCoalroller

    Leadfoot J. McCoalroller Senior Member

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    Are you doing some extra-restrictive search criteria?

    For kicks I looked at cars in Colorado between $4000 and $10,000 and the pickings are a bit better than I expected to be honest... a reasonable selection of Camrys, Corollas and RAV4s south of $10k. (Other makes too)
     
  4. Isaac Zachary

    Isaac Zachary Senior Member

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    5 years old or newer and 60k or less, on just the Honda Fit.

    3 to 5 years old and around 50k miles is what I mainly look at. At that mileage and age the abuse, if any, hopefully wouldn't be enough to severely affect the longevity of the car. I don't want another lawn oranament like my Prius. Other than the infotainment system my current Avalon seems to running fine with over 148,000 miles on it and I got it with just over 50k miles and at 5-years-old.

    I went a head and opened the search up on Autotrader to any vehicle and found that the cheapest car in a 300 mile raduis from where I live from 2019 (5 years) or newer and with 60k miles or less are some Nissan Versas going for $9,968 and $9,998.

    For comparison I got my full sized Avalon Hybrid at 5 years old and 51k miles for just a bit over $15,000 back in 2018. But note that a new base 2013 Avalon Hybrid's MSRP was $35,555 (so I got mine for less than half) and the base MSRP for a base Nissan Versa right now is less than $17,000 (so some $10,000 is not less than half).

    If I were to get a car right now I'd be tempted to get a new Nissan Versa over a used one since it's not a whole lot more (less than $7,000 more), I can choose a stick shift (those ~$10k Versas have CVT's), it comes with a warranty, I can, in theory, get at least another 50k miles out of a new car than a used car with that amount already put on it, and most importantly I can be sure it was treated with care from the beginning (including no salvage title).
     
  5. Isaac Zachary

    Isaac Zachary Senior Member

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    I don't know how accurate the predictions are in this video, but I found it interesting.

     
  6. ETC(SS)

    ETC(SS) The OTHER One Percenter.....

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    I actually LIKE subbies but I also like motorcycles so I have no automotive Napoleonic complex to battle.
    Subcompacts are going away because of rising labour and material costs and lower profit margins for eensy-weensy little cars more than the perception that you're riding in a tin can that will be squished beneath the tires of an adult-sized car.
     
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  7. Isaac Zachary

    Isaac Zachary Senior Member

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    What's a "subbie?"

    Regardless of the reason affordable cars are dissapearing, I think the conclusion is that if affordable new cars dissapear then used cars will go up (or stay up) in price. For an example, the cheapest Gold certified used Toyota hybrid with less than 60k miles on it that I can find in the entire country is almost $20k, but I can get a brand new Nissan Versa for $17,000, making it an attractive alternative. But when the cheapest new car is over $20k then there are going to be more people interested in the used hybrids I was looking at, which will cause their prices to increase.
     
  8. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    I think hybrids and phevs have already increased
     
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  9. Isaac Zachary

    Isaac Zachary Senior Member

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    But that, in no way, means they won't increase even more, especially on the used market.

    Of course the opposite could be true. But fewer cheaper options usually will drive up prices.
     
    #429 Isaac Zachary, Mar 19, 2024
    Last edited: Mar 19, 2024
  10. ETC(SS)

    ETC(SS) The OTHER One Percenter.....

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    Sub compact car......
    (Warning! poloticized definition follows containing developing nation unit of measure!)
    The "EPA" definition of a subcompact is a passenger car with a combined interior and cargo volume of 85–99 cubic feet (2,410–2,800 L).
     
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  11. Leadfoot J. McCoalroller

    Leadfoot J. McCoalroller Senior Member

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    CNBC News article about the little BYD Seagull and its outsized impact on the market

    juicy bits:


     
  12. ETC(SS)

    ETC(SS) The OTHER One Percenter.....

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    I'll wait and see what the tariffs and meeting our DOT standards do to the price.
    I'm generally against trade tariffs but the ChiComms may be the exception that makes the rule.
     
  13. Leadfoot J. McCoalroller

    Leadfoot J. McCoalroller Senior Member

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    I have few doubts that a BYD car is going to bring a big change to American roads.

    I do have doubts that it'll be this version of the Seagull.

    But if they can build, ship & warranty that thing for RMB70k/USD10k I think they have a pretty good shot at doing a toddlerproofed version for the US market.

    And even if that doubled the price, they'd still be bringing a great game.
     
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  14. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Tariffs are just a Federal sales tax we pay … silently.

    Bob Wilson
     
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  15. Isaac Zachary

    Isaac Zachary Senior Member

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    I'm afraid that cheap EV will mean poor range.

    The base model Seagull has a 30 kWh battery, and the top spec one isn't even quite 40 kWh. It's a hatchback, so should have a poorer drag coefficient than a sedan.

    The Nissan Leaf with similar sized batteries does 107 mi and 149 mi respectively. Or should I say 75 mi and 104 mi if we account for an acceptable 70% capacity loss.
     
  16. Leadfoot J. McCoalroller

    Leadfoot J. McCoalroller Senior Member

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    I sure wouldn't expect much.

    But it probably wouldn't be the right machine for you anyway- you've got both climate & topographical circumstances that incentivize you to find a more capable car anyway.
     
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  17. Isaac Zachary

    Isaac Zachary Senior Member

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    Ya, but the EV is set out to eventually become the new econo car. Meanwhile the last two sub-$20k cars are disappearing and used econo cars with around 50k miles and 3-5 years old are $10,000 and up still, and that's only with searching other states. One might as well as get a new Versa while he/she still can.

    It's like if I tell someone where I live I get the "you need something with AWD/4WD and a body on frame and costs $50k" speal.
     
    #437 Isaac Zachary, Mar 22, 2024
    Last edited: Mar 22, 2024
  18. ColoradoCrow

    ColoradoCrow Active Member

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    Get a Tesla for $20K!
    2018 Model 3

    Model 3 Long Range Rear-Wheel Drive
    77,285 mile odometer
    Colma, CA
    $20,500
    $234 /mo
    Est. Transport Fee: $2,000
    • upload_2024-3-22_15-30-1.jpeg
      [​IMG]
    • upload_2024-3-22_15-30-1.jpeg
      [​IMG]
     
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  19. ColoradoCrow

    ColoradoCrow Active Member

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    And That Transport fee is to Kansas Colorado is closer to CA. Or fly out there and drive it back. Sales tax in California is 10 percent. You would have to talk to the DMV in Colorado to figure that out.
     
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  20. Mr.Vanvandenburg

    Mr.Vanvandenburg Senior Member

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    The country that’s tariffed can tariff back. Tariffs of course, as said, are paid by the importer and then customers, not the exporting country. It may be most recent previous leader didn’t understand what a tariff is, but it sounded tough.
     
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