2018 Atlantic hurricane season

Kilauea has been in a lull for about 3 weeks. Actually have not been following that, to know whether residents are still being kept out.

 

Back to Atlantic side, one could check here:

WPC 5- and 7-Day Total Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts

Over next few days to see how juicy this might turn out to be.

 

In that context dry meant lacking ethanol. Careful what you wish for.

 

All that new, surficial lava rock could eat a lot of CO2, if it just had a bazillion times more surface area.

Because it's mafic.

Would like to show mafic in some big twinkly font. Make it a 'word for today'.

 

A small spoonful of clay (~1 micron particle size) has more surface area than a typical lecture hall. Such as where I typically bore students with such information.

 

"if we could pulverize it: Easiest thing in the world. But to do it fast takes energy, and if that sourced CO2, net gain goes away.

If you're in no hurry, just get some plant roots*. Breaking rocks for >350 million years and darn good at it.

*and fungi of course. Fungi make everything better. Except when they don't .

 

Nobody asked of course, but when clays form the slow natural way, they are not 1-micron balls



They are like 1-micron books with pages a bit open. Real surface area is absurdly high.

 

Like, totally, dude. Link even compares to "hardened steel" which is...sort of a joke. Microbes eat that stuff for breakfast.

SciAm blogs are so good that somebody ought to distill them for PriusChat viewing

somebody

 

In about an hour 'those who do' will turn the crank again on mesoscale models for H. Florence and promulgate graphics. This one is really looking like a popcorn-ready show.

But I am drawn to labor elsewhere and may miss posting on a turn or two of the crank. So, if you are Atlantic near-coastal and at some risk of flooding ... see to it.

 

Florence surely will damage with storm-water surge on mid-Atlantic coast and cause big rain there and inland. We only wonder whether big winds will 'do' North Carolina coast (and die inland), or scoot north along coast and visit many more customers. This is not addressed at

HURRICANE FLORENCE

but somewhat at

Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Track Forecasts

Both URLs need refreshing 12 hourly. It will become 6 hourly later.

 

See all 3 here:

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/atlantic/images/irng8.GIF

First up is Florence. Now well locked on N Carolina but adventure not limited to there. Newsworthy strengthening in 12 hrs.

Then Isaac. Straight west through "Windward Islands", then ??? Notably not getting stronger.

Helene turns north (into non notability) after Cape Verde.

Of these, Florence is the one to watch. Except in Hawaii, where Olivia is about 2 days out.

 

Get your total rainfall predictions here

HURRICANE FLORENCE

or here

WPC 5- and 7-Day Total Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts

Same data, different crayons.