2016 Prius 20% improvement in MPG?

Discussion in 'Gen 4 Prius Main Forum' started by iplug, Sep 10, 2015.

  1. cyclopathic

    cyclopathic Senior Member

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    Exactly my point

    Hybrid Yaris is rated 3.3l/100km in EU cycle, and Prius is 3.9l/100km. Hybrid Yaris is marginally lighter then Prius C, but has much worse aerodynamics, so it would get worse MPG in EPA test than C.

    Yet it is 20% better than regular Prius hatchback in EU cycle.

    Different test = different results.

    If you were to project EU results to US, Prius C should have been rated at 60MPG+. Is it?
     
  2. energyandair

    energyandair Active Member

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    So in post 33, you meant Yaris where you said Gen 3?

    I can see that for very different cars, (eg. Prius C and Yaris) guessing the score on one test based on relative results on a very different test may not work out too well.

    I would expect guessing scores based on much more similar cars (eg Gen 3 from Gen 2 or Gen 4 from Gen 3) may get quite a bit closer.
     
  3. cyclopathic

    cyclopathic Senior Member

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    What I meant was that Prius C is rated more efficient on non-EPA cycle when compared to regular Gen3 Prius, and this is opposite/not true on EPA. Aqua/C are not sold in EU, so it is not direct comparison as due to tariff situation EU only gets hybrid Yaris which toyota builds in France. In Japan were Aqua and Prius are sold side by side Aqua also rated more efficient than Prius.

    In real life US cycle Prius C gets worse MPG in cold weather, and equals or betters Prius in warmer temps if the speeds kept down. With A/C and short trips C is less efficient than Prius.

    Point is that you cannot take results from EU or Japan and think they would work out to the same percentage in US.
     
  4. iplug

    iplug Senior Member

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    Agree. Prius gen 2 to 3 to 4 comparisons on different test cycles is not perfect, but much more "apples-to-apples". Not sure why all the discussion about other non-Prius liftback cars. Interesting, but probably not relevant here.
     
  5. alfon

    alfon Senior Member

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    So how much more efficient is the 2016 Prius "Eco" model going to be over the 2016 base Prius?
    Also just by staying with a 195X65x15 tire over a 17 inch tire will probably give you at least 2-4 mpg increase
    over a 17 inch tire, maybe more. I for one prefer the 195X65X15 as they are less money, longer tread life, and more
    manufactures to choose from. Also with the 2016 Prius weighing less, 2,800-2900 lbs you really don't need a big tire.

    Right now we have over 132,000 miles on our 2010 Prius. Last fillup was 54 mpg, calculated, this is normal real world driving.
    I was concerned when we purchased it back in May, 2009 how long the battery would last. Well so far original 12 volt and traction battery perform just like when new. Perhaps the most trouble free car we have ever owned. Perhaps our next car will be a 2016 Prius Eco.
    Just waiting for more info...
     
  6. Mendel Leisk

    Mendel Leisk Witness Leader

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    The 3rd gen 17" rim is very heavy too, that's a factor. I like ours tho. :)

    Ours came with Michelin Pilot hx mxm4. They've been surprisingly uneventful, in a good way: seem easy rolling, long wearing, good cornering.

    I see both the 15" and 17" 2016 in Vegas had Bridgestone Ecopia EP422 plus.
     
  7. cyclopathic

    cyclopathic Senior Member

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    C/Aqua much closer to Gen2&1 than to Gen3. Gen3, Prius v/Alpha, Alrus and CT200 are much closer. Why? Because the share same powerplant and other design features.
     
  8. iplug

    iplug Senior Member

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    Here are some extrapolations to help predict the official EPA release figures for the Gen 4 Prius models.

    As one can see, looking at NEDC, JC08, and EPA, the test cycle fuel efficiency numbers themselves are not interchangeable within the same generation. However, there has been a lot of consistency across the board in percent improvement when going from the same generation to the next.


    European (NEDC)
    Gen 1: NA
    Gen 2: 4.3 L/100km
    Gen 3: 3.9 L/100km - 10% improvement
    Gen 4: 3.3L/100km??? - based on 18% improvement expected per Toyota*

    Japanese (JC08)
    Gen 1: NA
    Gen 2: 29.6 km/L
    Gen 3: 32.6 km/L - 10% improvement
    Gen 4: 35 km/L (E-Four) - 7% improvement
    Gen 4: 37 km/L (2-WD) - 13% improvement
    Gen 4: 40 km/L (Eco) - 23% improvement

    U.S. (EPA)
    Gen 1: 41 mpg
    Gen 2: 46 mpg - 12% improvement
    Gen 3: 50 mpg - 9% improvement
    Gen 4: 55–57 mpg (2-WD)??? - Estimated 10**-13% improvement
    Gen 4: 59–61 mpg (Eco)??? - Estimated 18-23% improvement


    *Unsure if this will be a Euro Core or Eco model, assuming Eco here

    **based on Toyota previously stating targeting a 10% improvement on Core model
     
    Tideland Prius, bisco and Sergiospl like this.
  9. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    well done.
     
  10. cyclopathic

    cyclopathic Senior Member

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    New Toyota Aqua to Regain its Title as Most-Efficient Hybrid - autoevolution for Mobile

    So Gen4 is gonna match Aqua's 37km/L in JC08 and Aqua is rated at what did you say in EPA? estimated 55-57MPG?
     
  11. iplug

    iplug Senior Member

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    Answer in post #44 above. This is a Prius Liftback thread. Prius c (Aqua in Japan) can not be directly compared. Also, the article you link is speculation, not official. Note, it says: "looks like Toyota’s redesigned Aqua (Prius c) hybrid model will regain its top spot as the most efficient vehicle".

    Who knows, again post #44. Too many variables to do that apples-to-oranges comparison.

    We do know the Euro and Japanese specs correctly favor more city driving (higher population densities there), something the Prius c had an edge on it's first generation and may very well have in the next.
     
  12. cyclopathic

    cyclopathic Senior Member

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    And yet you are comparing Gen2 with Gen3.

    Gen2 has far more in common with Prius C than with Gen3.

    Gen4 is built on completely different platform and likely has even less common with Gen3 than Gen2 had. We do not have any information, specs on the size of battery, voltage, current draw, ICE efficiency, size, rating, final drive ratio to even start to speculate on how they will react to different test conditions. Just simple "if you wish upon the star..."

    There is just simply not enough information to draw any conclusions. Let's wait and see the results will be out soon enough.
     
  13. GasperG

    GasperG Senior Member

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    There is nothing, 0, nada ... that can be concluded from NEDC

    Here is example of completely the same drivetrain in three difernet cars:
    2009 gen 3 Prius: 3,9 l/100 km
    2011 gen 1 Auris hybrid: 3,8 l/100 km
    2014 gen 2 Auris hybrid: 3,6 l/100 km

    In reality Prius is the most efficient of this three, simply because of air drag.
     
  14. cyclopathic

    cyclopathic Senior Member

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    I do agree that there is a possibility of Gen4 hitting 60MPG barrier.

    If you take published ICE efficiency improvement 38% to 40% (5%), promised 20% weight reduction (good for 8 to 15% MPG improvement per EPA study) 20% doesn't seem to be far fetched. But Toyota failed miserably in the past with C in EPA certification, so let's wait and see.

    It is very important psychologically for them to hit 60MPG barrier, the future of model may be depending on it.
     
  15. iplug

    iplug Senior Member

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    Not correct.

    Therefore?

    Again, doesn't matter, already explained above.

    Specifcations are not needed for extrapolation. This only concerns efficiency % change between three generations on three test cycles and is missing only one solvable component in this matrix (US EPA mpg). There are no other variables, the other factors are known.

    That's the fun part, there is no magic or wishing, it's just math/science - an educated, but not random guess. It's not perfect, but significantly increases the probability of getting the right answer.
     
    #55 iplug, Sep 21, 2015
    Last edited: Sep 21, 2015
  16. cyclopathic

    cyclopathic Senior Member

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    There are also 2 more cars with the same powertrain sold in US: Prius v and Lexus CT200. Both have MPG rated in low 40s.

    In case of Lexus Toyota had chosen to tune powerplant in favor of performance, not fuel economy, but in case of "v" this is just side effect. You can say that "v" is heavier, but 200lbs alone are not enough to explain 20% drop. I have loaded Gen3 with more than 200lbs and the drop was barely noticeable, 1-1.5mpg. Aerodynamics of "v" are worse, but Gen3 with bike attached is even worse than that. So the issue with "v" is the lower final drive, which was fitted to maintain the same level of performance.

    The fact that there are rumors of Eco version out there tells me:
    - Toyota understands the psychological value of hitting 60MPG target
    - Target is acheavable
    - They ran into issues with doing this either too much loss in performance, or too much cost hike.

    So their strategy is to have 2 models base (value) and 60MPG Eco.

    If EPA testing works out to magic 60MPG, than there will be an Eco version in US, if not there won't. They will decide to split alone plug/no plug lines as they did in the past.

    If issue with loss of performance apparent, the oncoming magazine reviews will not have access to Eco model, it will be sort of "yeah and there is also Eco model we didn't test which gets whooping 60MPG". If cost is an issue there will be review, which would also state "..and btw there real life performance is as good or better"
     
  17. David Beale

    David Beale Senior Member

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    To me, the INTERESTING thing is the manufacturers are allowed to use the mileage obtained by their best version on the placards of -all- the versions. Even though they may not be able to get that mileage. ;)
     
  18. cyclopathic

    cyclopathic Senior Member

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    You loose credibility by contradicting yourself.

    In your post #48 you are directly comparing very different Gen1&2, 3 and oncoming Gen4, while stating that that this is not a valid comparison in post #44.

    Toyota has too much riding on it, and being front runner they have a huge target drawn on their back. That alone ensures there will be no cheating. If anything EPA results will be downplayed.

    There will be no Ford C-Max/Kia Soul scenario here for sure.
     
    #58 cyclopathic, Sep 21, 2015
    Last edited: Sep 21, 2015
  19. iplug

    iplug Senior Member

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    Again, no. As post #48 says, “as one can see, looking at NEDC, JC08, and EPA, the test cycle fuel efficiency numbers themselves are not interchangeable within the same generation”.

    Please read the text before repeating inaccurate contradictory statements about what was done or said.
     
    #59 iplug, Sep 21, 2015
    Last edited by a moderator: Sep 21, 2015
  20. energyandair

    energyandair Active Member

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    I don't see any such statement or inference in Post # 44. You may want to reassess your Post # 58
     
    #60 energyandair, Sep 21, 2015
    Last edited by a moderator: Sep 21, 2015