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Silver Bullet for High Gasoline Prices

Discussion in 'Environmental Discussion' started by skruse, Apr 29, 2004.

  1. skruse

    skruse Senior Member

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    Excellent discussion sponsored by Island Press centered on hybrid vehicles.

    We need to raise the price of gasoline from $0.50 Liter ($2.00 gallon) to $1.25 Liter ($5.00 gallon) with the difference going to investing in renewal energy and a sustainable transportation infrastructure (light rail, high speed rail, bicycle commutes).

    Hybrid vehicles will eventually also plug in at home, further decreasing our dependence on, and worship of, fossil fuels. We need to increase CAFE (fuel economy standards) for both gasoline and diesel vehicles to match the 2004 Prius and aspire to Rocky Mountain Institute's super efficient automobiles.

    http://blog.islandpress.org/
     
  2. Danny

    Danny Admin/Founder
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    This probably fits better under Environmental Discussion, so I'm moving it there.

    Danny
     
  3. Sun__Tzu

    Sun__Tzu New Member

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    Would plugging a hybrid in actually reduce dependence on fossil fuels? Unless your home is powered by geothermal, hydro, wind or solar power, its still burning some kind of fossil fuel. . .
     
  4. Jerry P

    Jerry P Member

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    The plug-in hybrid is of particular interest to me. I work 3rd shift and a solar re-charging unit would be ideal - I could re-charge the batteries while I sleep. An article I read claims that the electricity needed by a rechargable hybrid would amount to about $.50 per gallon equivalent of gasoline. If that is true, the cost savings is great. Doing the recharge via solar would be even less. I wouldn't even mind changing out the battery pack, replacing a fully charged one for one that has been used, on a daily basis provided it was simple to do. Calcars is supposedly working on this with Toyota, so it may be coming sometime in the future.
     
  5. TonyPSchaefer

    TonyPSchaefer Your Friendly Moderator
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    Ok, here's something I've been thinking about. You will have to follow my logic on this one, so read through it before you draw a conclusion.

    1) American fuel-guzzling vehicles increase demand for fuel.
    2) Increased demand drives up the price.
    3) Intelligent people drive fuel efficient cars to reduce fuel dependence.
    4) As more Intelligent people drive fuel efficient cars, the demand for fuel will decrease.
    5) As the demand for fuel decreases, the price should lower as well.
    6) The people most prone to benefit from the lowered price of fuel will be the drivers of the American fuel-guzzling vehicles.

    I lay awake at night running logic loops through my head. :idea:

    However, there is something to learn from this. There is no incentive for the removal of fuel-guzzling cars. It is the population of hybrid drivers who will make filling up an Hummer2 more tolerable. In order for the population of this country to lower the dependence on foreign oil (and domestic oil yanked out of national parks), the largest offenders must be removed. And that won't be easy because for the duration of my 30+ years, I have been told be the "Marketing Machine" that bigger is better and if you simply don't think about the global impact there must not be one.

    Also, one more thing to add:
    In the May issue of Scientific American, there is an article discussing Hydrogen Fuel Cells and other alternative fuels. Sun_Tzu (loved the book), you are correct in that to make an alternate fuel such as Hydrogen, fossil fuels must be used in some fashion; except for solar and wind but with transfer degradation, the electricity must be consumed very near it's origin. According to the authors of the article, there are very palpable efficiencies for all fuel types but it depends on the usage to determine which is "best".
     
  6. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    > the demand for fuel will decrease...

    Since the population continues to increase, stable is the best we could hope for. Expecting decrease would be unrealistic.

    Realistically, the model is not that simple. The age-base continues to change, and the new have very different values from the old. Political leaders obviously have a profound influence on what happens too.
     
  7. bookrats

    bookrats New Member

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    Extremely unrealistic. Saw an article on Reuters today saying that high gas prices is due to "increased worldwide demand" -- i.e., China. Supply and demand takes over.

    The president of Toyotoa, in an interview in an article, said this was specifically one of the reasons he thought hybrid technology would be valuable to Toyota in the near future. Wise man -- I see why Toyota's stock is where it's at!
     
  8. TonyPSchaefer

    TonyPSchaefer Your Friendly Moderator
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    <sarcasm>
    Oh yeah, well how can you explain an increase in worldwide demand when projections indicate that approximate 6.2 billion people are going to die within the next 100 years?
    </sarcasm>

    :D :mrgreen: :D
     
  9. daniel

    daniel Cat Lovers Against the Bomb

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    TonyPSchaefer neglects to take into account the non-renewable nature of fossil fuels. As supply diminishes price will rise.

    An electric fleet will have minimal overall impact if the electricity is generated by fossil fuel, but this country has nearly unlimited renewable resources. If we just had the political will to change the way we think about energy and kick the Exxon monkey off our back we could probably relegate petroleum to petro-chemicals and get all our energy from domestic, renewable sources, of which solar and wind are perhaps the biggest, but with lots of smaller sources playing their part.
     
  10. casc

    casc New Member

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    Then there's the crap we get from our govt...
    Here's what one of my senator's office sent me. I'd be much more impressed if one of the points in the 9 point plan actually addressed gasoline demand, but I suppose thats too much to ask of an elected official in the US. :pukeright:

    ****** Begin forwarded mail****
    I thought you would be interested in the following message.

    ===================================================

    Dear Friend:

    Rising gas prices is an issue that impacts all Californians.
    Whether you drive a car, own a business, or buy groceries and other goods, you feel the pinch of higher gas prices. For months, both in Washington and in California, I have been focusing on the critical problem of rising gas prices.

    Over the past three months, gasoline prices have spiraled out of control. Nationwide, the average price per gallon of gas has risen from $1.54 on January 5th to $1.88 on April 12th.
    Here in California, the price increase over this same period has been even sharper, from $1.61 to $2.15. In some areas of California, the price is much higher. In response to these rising prices, I have come up with a 9-point plan to fight rising gas prices. My plan includes:

    1. FTC Investigation of Current Situation

    First, I have called on the Federal Trade Commission to investigate the current gas price spikes in California, which began in mid-February. I have met with the Chairman of the FTC, who confirmed that there was an "anomaly" in California’s gasoline market and that the FTC was conducting an informal investigation.

    2. Automatic Investigations of Rapid Price Increases

    Second, I have introduced legislation that would require an automatic investigation of the gasoline market for possible manipulation any time that average gasoline prices in a state increase by 20% or more over a three-month period. If the FTC finds market manipulation in a given case, they would work with the state’s Attorney General to determine penalties to be imposed on the companies.

    3. "Cease and Desist" Orders in Highly Concentrated Markets

    I am cosponsoring the Gasoline Free Market Competition Act authored by Senator Wyden, which would give the FTC the authority to issue "cease and desist" orders in order to prevent market manipulation whenever four or fewer gasoline companies control more than 70 percent of the gas supply in a given market.

    4. Strategic Petroleum Reserve

    We need to stop filling the Strategic Petroleum Reserve – which is now at 93% of capacity – in order to increase the supply of gasoline on the market. We should also establish a short-term "exchange" in which some oil in the SPR is released immediately and refilled later, just as SPR reserves were released four years ago to ease the home heating oil crisis in the Northeast. It doesn’t even make sound economic sense to buy gas for the reserve when prices are at a peak.

    5. Increased Production by OPEC

    I am cosponsoring a Senate resolution that calls on the President to work with OPEC to increase world crude oil supplies in order to achieve stable crude oil prices.
    President Bush should work with OPEC to increase supply.

    6. Subject OPEC to U.S. Anti-Trust Laws

    I am cosponsoring a bipartisan bill authored by Senator DeWine that would subject OPEC to the laws prohibiting collusion, market manipulation, and other anti-competitive behavior.

    7. Save the Bakersfield Refinery

    I have called on Shell Oil to find a buyer for its Bakersfield refinery and commit to keeping the refinery open until a buyer is found. I have also asked the FTC and Attorney General Bill Lockyer to use their powers to stop the refinery from closing.
    We cannot afford to lose any more California refinery capacity. If this refinery closes, it will only further stress an already tight California market.

    8. Oxygenate Waiver

    Along with Governor Schwarzenegger, Senator Feinstein, and California’s bipartisan Congressional delegation, I have called on the EPA to grant California a waiver from the requirement that an oxygenate – MTBE or ethanol – be added to gasoline.
    Adding ethanol to gasoline may already be driving prices higher in some parts of the state.

    9. Fuel Formula Investigation

    We may be able to reduce price spikes by reducing the number of different fuel formulations now required by different jurisdictions. I have asked the General Accounting Office to investigate whether we can do this while maintaining the same air quality benefits that we get with California's cleaner-burning gasoline.

    I believe that these steps, if implemented, would go a long way toward easing gasoline price spikes in California and preventing further price gouging in the future. If you have questions about any item on my 9-point plan or if you would like to send me any other idea, I encourage you to contact me at http://boxer.senate.gov/contact/webform.cfm

    Sincerely,

    Barbara Boxer
    United States Senator

    ===================================================

    For more information on Senator Boxer's record and other information, please go to: http://boxer.senate.gov

    If you would like to make a comment regarding this or any other federal matter, please feel free to do so at:
    http://boxer.senate.gov/contact/webform.cfm

    ***** end forwarded mail*************************

    don't know what more i can say but....this senator's just a few bricks shy
    of a full load. then again, at least I can stand tall and say that while she may be a senator representing my state, I personally have never voted for her, so it's not my freaking fault....

    cas
     
  11. bookrats

    bookrats New Member

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    Yes, but most of those 6.2 billion fatalities are the result of SUV accidents. :mrgreen: :D
     
  12. mike_mccracker

    mike_mccracker New Member

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    I would strongly encourage all of you concerned about the longterm feasibility of our petroleum dependence to read the book "The Long Emergency: Surviving the Converging Catastrophes of the 21st Century" by James Howard Kunstler.

    He's a bit of a pessimist, but his research is sound and he doesn't seem to care much for partisan anything.

    Also, search around for the implications of a so-called "Hubbert's Curve". The essence is: if we haven't already passed peak global oil production, we will in the next decade, and afterwards we're going to learn very quickly just how much oil meant to us.