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Consumer Reports initial test of Model S in winter chills

Discussion in 'Prius, Hybrid, EV and Alt-Fuel News' started by cycledrum, Feb 15, 2013.

  1. efusco

    efusco Moderator Emeritus
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    click the link for one data point. I guess you could survey all the Roadster owners. This seems very important to you so I'm sure you'll go ahead and do all the research to figure it out. Since nobody else is demanding it, we'll go on with our lives and enjoying our fabulous cars.
     
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  2. spinnaker87

    spinnaker87 Junior Member

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    like I said.. I bet my bottom dollar Tesla has the data.. but they are not releasing it. because they obviously want everyone believing this is a worthy road trip car. it ain't
     
  3. cycledrum

    cycledrum PSOCSOASP

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    What does the battery degradation curve look like?

    see post #15
    "I would like offer an expert comment on the issue of the life of the Model S battery. I am a Model S reservation holder and also lithium ion battery expert..... I believe my experience is close enough to provide some useful rules of thumb. First, all degradation process are a function of applied stress. Three common stresses that a battery sees are temperature (the Tesla battery is water cooled for a reason), voltage (the maximum mileage you charge the battery to) and depth of discharge (miles per day, note this is why the only 85 kWh variant has an year warrantee).
    I have employed my battery models to predict Model S life and the results are outstanding. I believe that if routine charging is limited to about 80% of maximum mileage (~200 miles) and average daily use to 60 to 70 miles (my present commute) the battery life to 70% capacity will be on the order of 20 year in the Southern California climate."

    "I have now driven more then 112.000km within 2 years time and my (Tesla Roadster) capacity is down by 15%. Hope i can do another 100.000km before I have lost 30%."

    "Cinergi's Roadster over a 2 year period driving a total of 20k miles decreased from 188 miles to 181 miles in range (standard charging). This is about a 4% decrease (or 2% / year or 1% / 5k miles, etc). My opinion is that this rate is a moderate amount."

    "At 3.5 years and 48K miles I get 169 standard mode miles so about a 10% loss."
     
  4. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    Don't feed the trolls, but if you are interested there are several rules of thumb out there. For a liquid conditioned battery like that in the Tesla S, climate should not make much of a difference. We would expect more than 95% of them to retain more than 70% after 10 years. This requires storage mode if the vehicle is being stored for a long period of time.

    For Daily drives a safe distance to give is 70% of epa range, but for highest battery life I would assume normal charging to 90%. Given 30% degradation at the end of 10 years I would expect a safe daily distance of 265 x 90% x 70% x 70% or 117 miles.

    It is likely that your road trip range on any given day is much higher than that. Say 5 years out if the battery has decreased to 90%, its between 45 and 85 degrees with no rain, a full charge should get you 238 miles, but you should stop and recharge with at least a safety margin of 30 miles on your battery. Range mode on climate controls and cruise control at lower speeds witll increase actual distance just like eco on the prius and lower speeds increases its mpg.
     
  5. spinnaker87

    spinnaker87 Junior Member

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    ok.. so estimate the battery loses 10% in 3 and half years. how about range loss by hour and temp when unplugged? there seems to be a lot of confusion on the Tesla forum about range loss when unplugged. and this was an issue with the NYT reporter.
     
  6. spinnaker87

    spinnaker87 Junior Member

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    when your opinion doesn't agree with someone else's its always easy to throw the troll moniker. weak.
     
  7. spinnaker87

    spinnaker87 Junior Member

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    just like if your PR piece in the NYT goes awry.. the reporter is a liar.
     
  8. efusco

    efusco Moderator Emeritus
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    Because, like so many things, "It depends". What was the starting battery temp, what rate did the outside air temp drop, how long was the soak. And are you concerned about actual battery capacity after it warms back up or the computer calculated capacity based upon the current temp?

    These all vary with distance driven, outside temp at the time the car is parked, whether the car is in deep sleep or standby mode.

    I can't find a link to the write up, but one owner recently posted his experience with a cold weather soak. While he showed something like 32 miles when he parked it showed only 4 when he got up. But after starting and driving the car for a while and the battery warming up the range increased back to around 19 miles. So you tell me, how many miles did he lose with the overnight soak? I'd say around 7 or 8 maybe, but I don't know exactly how far he drove before the 19 mile range showed, so maybe more, maybe less.

    I realize you would love a nice simple "here's a chart" type of answer I think it is highly unlikely that you'll get that. There is a 90 page thread on "Winter Driving Experiences" at TMC...the answers are not clear and simple even if you wish them to be so.
     
  9. efusco

    efusco Moderator Emeritus
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    The facts are clear, he did lie..or at least made up a lot of his story. Even the editor confirmed that in her article today, though she very much soft sold it as "inaccurate recording in his red notebook". I've provided to you the facts of that situation several times. It IS trolling to selectively ignore those facts to mindlessly defend your defenseless position.
     
  10. efusco

    efusco Moderator Emeritus
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    Again, there are multiple factors that don't fit into the 2 dimensional square box you want to put them in. Time, distance, recharging habits, weather conditions, driving behavior, type of charging and a number of other factors all combine to determine life. So while you selectively chose the 3 1/2 years number, the more important number here is the 48k miles since that is significantly more than the average driver drives in a given year. Another driver that averages only 8k miles per year may see only 5% loss in 3 1/2 years.

    But it depends, you can't just pick one factor and base your determination or conclusions on that single factor.
     
  11. cycledrum

    cycledrum PSOCSOASP

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    I'm wondering why you even care to know? Are you registered on Tesla Motors Club - Enthusiasts & Owners Forum ? I am btw, efusco, and quite a few others here also.
    Could you manage to go there IF you're really interested?
     
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  12. spinnaker87

    spinnaker87 Junior Member

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    nothing is perfect.. but there should be ballpark numbers.. Tesla has tested this car extensively I'm sure and has a set of numbers for range loss by temp and by hour. it's a point of confusion that needs to be addressed.

    I found Musk's accusations really didn't hold water so I disagree. the NYT reporter brought up some issues that Tesla should address..
     
  13. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    I apologize for feeding the troll here, but ..
    As I wrote earlier the rule of thumb is less than 30% loss in 10 years. The 10% in 3.5 is just one example on the roadster, YLMV, and the tesla S should be less than the roadster, but may be higher than the one example.

    Zythryn and efusco answered you on cold soak loss and this is what the CR piece was all about. No body knows the exact numbers, but it should be in the the high single digits percentage wise. If you give yourself a decent safety margin on charge you should have no problem, but good practice is to plug it in. If Tesla was advising you to park outside not plugged in at -40 degrees, I would expect that they would have a table for you. I'm sure they are only testing enough to make sure the pack can protect itself without consuming too much power. You seem to want this stupid case to be the normal case. Broder and Consumer reports could easily have plugged in as can most owners.

    NO one called you a troll because you have a difference of opinion. We called you a troll because you keep on making up your own facts and repeating nonsense. This is the last time I will feed you.

    He seemed to exaggerate and under fill the car. These are matters of fact. He by what should have been his own calculations charged the car to barely make the trip, even though he could have stayed a short time longer to charge an additional 70 miles. Then he sped and did a cold soak to make sure he didn't make it. That is why we have a new term - brodering, deciding to under charge your car for the excitement of barely making it, or calling a tow truck. I'll use it in a sentence.

    "The Consumer Reports reviewer brodered his car in the spirit of adventure, and passed up a free quick charger, but unfortunately made it to the track without needing a tow."

     
  14. efusco

    efusco Moderator Emeritus
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    As I've said, I too would like to see something. But you've insinuated that the car is less than ideal until those numbers are available or that Tesla is somehow covering something up. I think it will simply create more fodder for the press who won't completely understand what they're looking at.

    I'd like the numbers to be public, I think we can agree on that, but they're not, and I'm OK with that too...as are the other 14,000-15,000 owners/reservation holders for now.
     
  15. hill

    hill High Fiber Member

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    here they are - the degradation numbers are right next to the ones for your gear oil degradation, and your timing chain degradation, and your spark plugs, and your catalytic converter degradation, and your oil filters, and your plug wires, and your U joints, and your CV boots and your entire ICE for that matter ... oh that's right I forgot ... you thought the ICE was degradation / maintenance free.
     
  16. spinnaker87

    spinnaker87 Junior Member

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    the NYT reporter passed up the charge because the car said it had enough range when it didn't. gets to my point that the car loses a lot of charge when parked overnight esp in the cold.. exactly what the NYT commented on and something a potential consumer should know about.

    don't buy that TESLA needs to protect the consumer from misinterpreting the data. TESLA is a battery car so there needs to be more disclosure on the power source and performance. Yes I have to repeat myself because you guys keep repeating the same arguments. works both ways.
     
  17. cycledrum

    cycledrum PSOCSOASP

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    When are you going to stop thinking a Model S or any other BEV is just like a conventional ICE car where you can park it outside in freezing weather and only hope the 12V battery has enough juice to turn over the ICE to start?

    I believe the owners manual instructs owners to plug the car in whenever possible.

    btw, does anyone have quotes from Model S owners manual for what to do when parking in cold overnight?

    If Tesla says to plug the car in, they sure as heck don't need to say 'this is what degradation is if you don't plug in'.