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SARS-CoV-2 Coronavirus (COVID-19)

Discussion in 'Environmental Discussion' started by tochatihu, Jan 26, 2020.

  1. VFerdman

    VFerdman Senior Member

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    I went for a hike in western Massachusetts where I live and I was happy to note that there was panic hiking going on :) So many people enjoying the great outdoors and good weather (windy, but sunny and clear) with the kids, dogs, etc. The park was full of hikers. And those people could not have possibly been shopping for toilet paper at that time and that made me feel better for humanity.
     
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  2. VFerdman

    VFerdman Senior Member

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    Pretty much all schools have been closed including colleges and universities here in my neck of the woods. University of Massachusetts in Amherst included (the largest campus in the state, I reckon). My high school senior kid is on "coronacation" til March 31 at least (with option to extend).
     
  3. VFerdman

    VFerdman Senior Member

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    I think pretty soon the junk mail will become toilet paper... A whole new meaning to those "Value Packs" ;)
     
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  4. KennyGS

    KennyGS Senior Member

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  5. noonm

    noonm Senior Member

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    I think we're going to start seeing two distributions for average fatality:

    Countries whose hospitals are not overwhelmed = 0.5-1.5%
    Countries with overwhelmed hospitals = 3-5%

    You want to be South Korea, not Italy.
     
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  6. Trollbait

    Trollbait It's a D&D thing

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    Roche's test is coming to the US. Heard they could make a million tests a month.
    FDA grants Roche coronavirus test emergency green light within 24 hours | FierceBiotech
    As to why it is happening now is a topic for the other thread:rolleyes:

    So they can all hang out at the park, playground, mall, bar, etc. depending on age group.
     
  7. VFerdman

    VFerdman Senior Member

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    You haven't met today's kids. They stay at home and play video games. ALL THE TIME. I think we are safe.
     
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  8. Trollbait

    Trollbait It's a D&D thing

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    Aware of that with my niece, but she also loves seeing her cousins and friends in person.

    Local schools closed here, and my cubicle mate said the news had a shot of the playgrounds filled.

    Research has shown that closing schools to prevent disease spread can be ineffective because of that. Perhaps digital venues can amke it more effective, but there is only so much young people can do together through a phone.;)
     
  9. iplug

    iplug Senior Member

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    Interesting medical side effect of increasing public distancing - since influenza and most respiratory viruses are spread in a similar manner to COVID-19, we can expect hospitalizations and deaths from these to diminish during such measures. The impact from influenza case reduction alone would be considerable. This would certainly be a welcome development in mitigating hospital census overload and the need for advanced respiratory care.
     
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  10. litesong

    litesong Active Member

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    Taiwan, (80?) miles from communist china(always small letters), turned the corner by NOT believing communist china (always small letters) & even before communist china(always small letters) named the coronavirus. In January(early?) 2020 they started measures to limit coronavirus (then unnamed) spread. So far they have limited coronavirus cases to 59 with only one death. However, 6 of the new cases have occurred in the last 24 hours. So their great work has to accelerate more!
     
    #790 litesong, Mar 15, 2020
    Last edited: Mar 15, 2020
  11. noonm

    noonm Senior Member

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    From what I understand, China, South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan are the only countries with COVID-19 under control (e.g. decreasing new cases and/or effective screening/tracking/containment protocols).

    The rest of us are on track for matching or surpassing the Wuhan and/or Italy infections/death rates.
     
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  12. Leadfoot J. McCoalroller

    Leadfoot J. McCoalroller Senior Member

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    This guy says we are Italy.
     
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  13. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Add to that, chop up a jalapeño pepper and rub over your fingers to stop touching your eyes, nose, and mouth.

    Wear gloves when going to bathroom.

    Bob Wilson
     
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  14. noonm

    noonm Senior Member

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    Yeah, I'm not optimistic. However, even within Italy, acting sooner is helping some cities over others:
     
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  15. litesong

    litesong Active Member

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    Like I said, Taiwan was fighting coronavirus, even before the communist chinese (always small letters) gave it a name. I said "early January 2020, but they really started December 31, 2019.
     
  16. noonm

    noonm Senior Member

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    Update 2 - 3/15/2020
    State-level data in the hotspots is still pretty messy, but the national level is showing no signs of slowing.

    [​IMG]

    Date is from COVID19 Tracker
     
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  17. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    Singapore@791. I would not include it on that list. New cases in Singapore are increasing slowly but the decrease has not yet come.

    Referring to WHO sitreps 37 through 55.

    On the brighter side Singapore has reported no fatalities in 212 current case total.
     
  18. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    Many more details about Singapore:

    Singapore was ready for COVID-19—other countries, take note | Ars Technica

    ==
    The phrase "flattening the curve" has come into wide use. Where that happens, the daily new case number will not have a sharp peak then decline (as seen so far in China and South Korea). It will be more difficult to detect the inflection until after more daily data has accumulated. This may be what we are seeing in Singapore and Taiwan.
     
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  19. Raphael Muscarelle

    Raphael Muscarelle Active Member

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    Oh no sky is falling.
    Reaction = kill economy as fast as possible.

    Posted via the PriusChat mobile app.
     
  20. noonm

    noonm Senior Member

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    The countries that take more aggressive action (that cause more up-front economic pain) will recover faster. That's pandemic economics. Be South Korea, Not Italy.
     
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