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SARS-CoV-2 Coronavirus (COVID-19)

Discussion in 'Environmental Discussion' started by tochatihu, Jan 26, 2020.

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  1. ETC(SS)

    ETC(SS) The OTHER One Percenter.....

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    #721 ETC(SS), Mar 12, 2020
  2. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    both our daughters are working from home until further notice
     
    #722 bisco, Mar 12, 2020
  3. Prodigyplace

    Prodigyplace 2025 Camry XLE FWD

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    #723 Prodigyplace, Mar 12, 2020
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  4. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    #724 tochatihu, Mar 12, 2020
    KennyGS, noonm and iplug like this.
  5. noonm

    noonm Senior Member

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    Although the US Federal Government response has been a disaster, State governments are taking things seriously:
    Ohio health official estimates 100,000 people in state have coronavirus | TheHill

    Its utterly depressing, but the first step to stopping this is admitting the scope of the problem.

    Basically, expect the numbers to double every week until sufficient countermeasures have been implemented.
     
    #725 noonm, Mar 12, 2020
  6. 3PriusMike

    3PriusMike Prius owner since 2000, Tesla M3 2018

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    Or 51% have been infected.
    Can't double after that

    Mike
     
    #726 3PriusMike, Mar 12, 2020
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  7. iplug

    iplug Senior Member

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    You just have to wait an hour or two. Closing now.
     
    #727 iplug, Mar 12, 2020
  8. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    Infections vs. medical responses have similar patterns.

    Covid turning points.png
    I previously posted China graph about time of sitrep 24. More recently argued that no math can predict late-stage totals until after the turning point. In S Korea it came at sitrep 41, so several ways are available to anticipate totals. Italy has not got there yet.

    Interesting to note that Hubei Province (home to 85% of China infections) and Italy have similar populations- both ~60 millions. S Korea, 50 millions.

    This approach can be used for any level of data resolution available. If WHO data are inaccurate for some or many places, reliability of results will be lower.

    If someone has a best-available data for USA, it would certainly be interesting to compare. I'll choose a few other countries to add later.
     
    #728 tochatihu, Mar 12, 2020
  9. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    Hope it's clear that by 'infections' I mean all efforts made by viruses and unintentionally aided by vectors. 'Medical responses' are everything done in opposition.
     
    #729 tochatihu, Mar 12, 2020
  10. noonm

    noonm Senior Member

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    The two best sources I know of for U.S. data are:
    COVID19 Tracker
    Tracking Every Coronavirus Case in the U.S.: Full Map - The New York Times

    The lack of adequate testing and a reliable centralized source makes the numbers suspect (and likely a huge under-count), but its the best available data that I know of.
     
    #730 noonm, Mar 12, 2020
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  11. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    Thanks @noonm but I'll have to leave this in other hands. Their data is hosted by google docs which is outside my reach. I invite you or anyone else to turn it into a daily list of total cases and post that here.
     
    #731 tochatihu, Mar 12, 2020
  12. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    Unrelated to corona viruses, but useful knowledge about the infuenza gang.

    Naming starts with H1N1 and potentially up to H18N11 and with all combinations in between. Not all have been detected in humans.

    H means hemagglutinin, a viral surface protein that helps virus to enter cell (factory-to-be). Then all the factory stuff happens, and newly made virus kids are helped to exit cell by N, neuraminidase. Big words, but one is key to ingoing lock and other is key to outgoing lock.

    In January I knew diddly about viral interactions with eucaryotic cells. Procaryotic cells yes, but that is way less complicated. It has been a very interesting coupla months.
     
    #732 tochatihu, Mar 12, 2020
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  13. CarlB

    CarlB Junior Member

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    Wednesday flight to Buffalo NY to pick up a prime on Thursday, drive it back.

    Overnight hotel near airport, morning Uber to the dealer.

    Thoughts with respect to the virus?
     
    #733 CarlB, Mar 13, 2020
  14. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    #734 bwilson4web, Mar 13, 2020
  15. Prodigyplace

    Prodigyplace 2025 Camry XLE FWD

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    I see Disney World is now closing. My sons and daughter-in-law have planned to go there next month.
     
    #735 Prodigyplace, Mar 13, 2020
  16. Raphael Muscarelle

    Raphael Muscarelle Active Member

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    Might be open next month.
    Posted via the PriusChat mobile app.
     
    #736 Raphael Muscarelle, Mar 13, 2020
  17. KennyGS

    KennyGS Senior Member

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    #737 KennyGS, Mar 13, 2020
  18. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Well I think I've got the recipe:

    Ok, I've figured it out. I'll soak a wash cloth in dial, ethanol, and sliced jalapeños. Let it dry to damp and carry in a plastic sandwich bag. The damp dial and ethanol will handle bacteria and hopefully virus.

    The jalapeños will solve touching eyes, nose, and mouth. Scotch bonnet would be over kill, working on anyone who touches something you've touched.    ​

    Bob Wilson
     
    #738 bwilson4web, Mar 13, 2020
    bisco and hill like this.
  19. hill

    hill High Fiber Member

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    yep - notice just came down yesterday, east and west coast parks going down. Many here sent home .... but us? "keep working"

    .
     
    #739 hill, Mar 13, 2020
  20. George W

    George W Senior Member

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    Fiesta in San Antonio postponed until November. No Battle of Flowers this year.
     
    #740 George W, Mar 13, 2020
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