Atlantic hurricane season

Discussion in 'Environmental Discussion' started by tochatihu, Jun 5, 2016.

  1. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    Concerning Matthew vs. northeast coast, it is appropriate to say that Dr. Phil Klotzbach sees a greater risk than I expressed above. This came from Gizmodo. In a hurricane thread it should not be necessary to mention that Klotzbach is an expert on the topic.

    So yeah, bisco, you and the birds might need to keep watching how things develop.
     
  2. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    A good single source of hurricane anticipation is

    Hurricane MATTHEW

    Time-course runs of many different models are presented elsewhere, but I assume that PriusChat is not the place for all that spaghetti. See weatherunderground or tropicaltidbits.

    For Matthew, NHC is now at advisory #28, with full updates every 6 hours. The probable spread, sometimes called 'cone', is now (for the first time) one half onshore in Florida. That is a pretty big deal. Read more in NHC text messages.

    To my eye, Matthew would to the most (US) harm with its center deftly following coastline, FL-GA-SC-NC. Digging into FL would mess those folks up, but spare others further north.
     
    #62 tochatihu, Oct 4, 2016
    Last edited: Oct 4, 2016
  3. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    I remember fondly seeing Doug's Gen-1 Prius with a 600 W inverter. The first one I'd seen after installing a 1 kW inverter in our Gen-1. . . . Actually the only other Prius I'd seen 'in real life' with an inverter.

    Just to summarize, the Gen-1 and Gen-3 Prius can sustain a 1 kW load for as long as the gas lasts. So top off the tank and fill a spare can.
    • Inverters over ~400 W should be bolted to the 12 V battery terminal as the "clamps" will get too hot.
    • Sine wave inverters tend to have less power but work safely with everything.
    • Modified sine wave inverters have more power but lose power in extension cords and some loads like motors run warmer than normal. TEST before the emergency!
    • Some loads (i.e., TVs, laptops) have significant "in-rush" that can trip the inverter. Put them on first and then the safer lights and other loads.
    Bob Wilson
     
    #63 bwilson4web, Oct 5, 2016
    Last edited: Oct 5, 2016
  4. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    Well it was a kw, but I fused it down lower, not wanting to melt the daddy-fuse in engine bay. Which would turn the whole thing into a 4-wheeled nothing 'until further notice'.

    But this is old territory. Now with many hybrid cars, and electric cars, what is the landscape for them? To what extent have cars gone beyond transportation to fill in other energy gaps?
     
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  5. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Had the 2016 come with a factory installed 120 VAC inverter, it might have changed my decision back in May. But the prospect of having to solve the same old problem, again, that Toyota USA continues to . . . <MEGA SIGH>

    So I went ahead and installed a 16 kW, natural gas fired, emergency generator and cut-over switch for the house. I am not happy with the air-cooled, noise machine but it can at least recharge our BMW i3-REx should we have another extended outage.

    Bob Wilson
     
  6. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    that's the candidate i'm voting for. finally, something i can get behind.
     
  7. Trollbait

    Trollbait It's a D&D thing

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    Not Toyota USA's fault. The Prime, other plug ins, and FCEVs that can supply power to home in emergencies require a specialized EVSE that is compatible to the CHAdeMO plug. Since CHAdeMO isn't even an option here, we won't see those EVSEs. One might be availalbe where the Mirai is sold in California, but I've seen quotes of $10k for the unit. It is also pricey in Japan.

    Your NG generator might have been cheaper, and doesn't require you to transport it down to the local refueling station to keep powering your home during long outages.
     
  8. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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  9. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    This forecast is for storm center to ride up FL coast, 2AM to 2PM Friday.
    Hurricane MATTHEW

    All bad enough, but what's causing fits at 'spaghetti sites' is possibility of Matthew circling around for another go.
     
  10. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    I am off to parts rural and wish all the best for storm-affected folks.
     
  11. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    if you don't hear from me, you'll know what happened.
     
  12. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    Never seen the like. First, Matthew undid quite a bit of Haiti's infrastructure, and they'll not fix that without help. Which you already knew of course.

    Matthew nicked hundreds of miles of US coast with hurricane winds, is aligned to that that some more, and then circle around for another shot. Somewhere, but much weaker, but still with lots of rain to offer.

    How much rain and coastal storm surge has there been? Still sorting that out. What stands out for me is the notion 'no hurricane has struck...' With a sufficiently motivated definition of 'struck', we could still be there! Just like Sandy!

    Almost as if hurricane-god (I made that up) wants it to seem that US hurricanes are over. Wants us to keep heating the ocean while chanting 'nope not here'. A nasty little god that would be. Not casting aspersions on followers, mind you :)

    But one could not imagine a more disruptive event, keeping its eyewall tidily offshore. Never seen the like.
     
  13. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    our church has taken up several collections for haiti, as have many. it never seems to improve though, just a natural disaster area i guess. oh well, at least you can help with food, clean water and shelter.
    i'm surprised we haven't heard from any southeast members.:eek:
     
    #73 bisco, Oct 8, 2016
    Last edited: Oct 8, 2016
  14. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    It looks like it has flattened against the East Coast and is dumping vast amounts of rain. One wonders where all that water vapor came from?

    Answers @mojo? Or @wxman?

    Bob Wilson
     
  15. wxman

    wxman Active Member

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    Bob,

    It appears a surface front/boundary is providing additional lift in the northwestern quadrant of Matthew, inducing heavier precip than what otherwise would occur. Probably some orographic lift involved also.

    Additional total column water vapor (precipitable water) probably a result of positive SST anomaly in the Western Atlantic.
     
    #75 wxman, Oct 8, 2016
    Last edited: Oct 8, 2016
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  16. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    Many humanitarian organizations are already well known. Adding to that list

    The Lambi Fund of Haiti

    That appears to have more local folks in the loop.
     
  17. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    All done but the cleaning up. Hurricane names get retired for having been bad enough. This one was not, in the US (I'd say). But expecting this name crossed off based on damage to Haiti.
     
  18. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    we lucked out, although some serious flooding. haiti needs a new game plan. why is the dominican republic immune?
     
  19. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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  20. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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