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RIP PiP?

Discussion in 'Gen 1 Prius Plug-in 2012-2015' started by cyclopathic, Nov 26, 2014.

  1. cyclopathic

    cyclopathic Senior Member

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    This if PiP and hybrid were the same price.

    At $5,000 difference you have to add 5c/mi to recover investment cost (100,000mi is commonly used as baseline), or to translate to gas prices gas has to be $4.5/gal. To recover costs in 150,000mi it would have to be above $3.67/gal.

    With the way technology changes any investment which would have recovery over 5-7 years isn't worth it.

    I'd bet in 7-10 years we will see HCCI engines getting 60+ MPG w/o any hybrid help.
     
  2. cyclopathic

    cyclopathic Senior Member

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    Have you checked places like SolarCity?

    around here they can get you down to 10c/kWh on SolarPPA. This is w/o any investment on your side. They own/maintain panels installed on your roof, and sell you generated electricity. Solar PPA Financing - Residential Solar PPA Providers - SolarCity
     
  3. mmmodem

    mmmodem Senior Taste Tester

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    This is one of the hurdles PG&E will have to solve. The way electricity is charged, it's just very difficult to know what the costs will be. I was just like you. When I purchased my PiP, I calculated my costs and it was some $0.33 per kWh. This is like paying >$4 gallon gas. Might as well not plug it in. So I switched to TOU E9. My electricity dropped by about $10 a month or ~$0.20 per kWh. I also use A/C in the summer.
     
  4. fortytwok

    fortytwok Active Member

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    I'm seeing a lot of assumptions that apply to some (like the high electricity) but not others. The PiP or Volt costing more is another of those assumptions that doesn't apply to all
    Many states have joined the Feds in incentives making the plug-ins either equal or in some cases even cheaper than the comparable

    MA isn't the most generous but total cashback is now $4,000 PiP and $10,000 Volt
    You can make your own assumption on the 0% 5 yr financing but came up with $2,000 with my use of funds
     
  5. Andyprius1

    Andyprius1 Senior Member

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    I am very Saddened as I will never recoup any of the free energies I'm receiving in regard to my Pip, I get free gasoline and electricity from my employer, then charge at my fitness club, which is 2 miles away, so I can't use that surplus charge except to go to work, 3 miles away. What's really maddening is I never need most of my Solar energy, so it goes mostly to my neighbors and my Utility. At the end of the year I will be receiving a big check from my Utility. Even my chickens are laying too many eggs. My neighbors are getting tired of my wholesome organic eggs. woe is me, how I long for the days of Pre-Pip again, and $4.00 / gallon gasoline. Never buy a PIP it ruins your struggle.
     
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  6. wjtracy

    wjtracy Senior Member

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    ^^^but you know what they say about ham and eggs:
    The chicken was involved but the pig was committed to the cause!
     
  7. CharlesH

    CharlesH CA HOV Decal #5 on former PiP

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    I am sure it is different if one lives in the California Central Valley where temperatures regularly hit 105 in the summer. I live in the south San Francisco Bay area, where high 90s are rare. After putting in double-pane windows and a "smart" thermostat programmed with my TOU (E9) parameters, my electric bill last summer was never above $80. AC set at 78 during the afternoon (peak rate), but set down to 72 during the night (off-peak) to cool the house down. Also an overnight charge of my PiP at 4am.
     
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  8. MikeDee

    MikeDee Senior Member

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    I don't plan on staying in this home for more than another three years. I wonder what a solar lease will do to my ability to sell. My typical power bill is less than $200/month except in the summer. I already own a Prius 2. Maybe I'll consider a PIP come 2016 when the Gen 3 is out plus one year for them to work out the bugs.
     
  9. cyclopathic

    cyclopathic Senior Member

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    From what I gathered they put a lean on your house and the new owner has an option to either sign new PPA or have you have them remove it for free. With respect to selling it is def more paper work but cheap electricity could be also a good selling point. In my case it only saves~$50/mo, not really worth it.

    With respect to PiP it may worth for you if you get the HOV sticker; but unless you get a free charge it wouldn't make sense to charge it at $0.30/kWh.
     
  10. cyclopathic

    cyclopathic Senior Member

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    Well incentives will not here to stay; they will be phased out.

    Tax Incentives Information Center
     
  11. cyclopathic

    cyclopathic Senior Member

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    you are middle age (sorry for braking it to you :() you are.

    So if you think that Prius C is less expensive for you, how about this?
    https://www.eliomotors.com/
    [​IMG]
    BTW it is classified as motorcycle, which gives it access to HOV lanes.
     
  12. Phausto

    Phausto Junior Member

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    Here in the Pacific Northwest, once gas is under about 80 cents a gallon it will be price competitive with electricity for me. But then my electricity is hydro, so I’d really have to like burning fuel. (In the garage, which is underneath my asthmatic son’s room. And huffing fumes at the gas station. And funding all that comes with oil. I could go on at great length, and I don’t even need a HOV sticker.)
    Anyone with so much as a passing interest in such things will note that typically resource-based commodities trend towards greater expense with scarcity, while technology-based commodities trend toward lesser expense over time. The PiP is my family’s flexible-fuel bridge to our next car, an EV, and we’ve averaged a bit north of 100mpg (yes, gas only figure there) over its lifetime. Anecdotal, sure, but this N=1 is pretty much thrilled. I honestly don’t even notice gas prices anymore. YMMV indeed.
     
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  13. MikeDee

    MikeDee Senior Member

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    I did some Googling, and a solar lease is more of a liability than an asset in selling your home. I won't go there.
     
  14. Corwyn

    Corwyn Energy Curmudgeon

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    If you are only getting an eight year payback, you are doing something wrong. We have companies here, leasing solar installation for seven years, after which they GIVE you the panels.
     
  15. Andyprius1

    Andyprius1 Senior Member

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    It depends on if you own it, if a 3rd party owns it yes. it's like a car lease.
     
  16. Andyprius1

    Andyprius1 Senior Member

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    One of these days I would like to see the complete math on all of these deals. One often hears of the decreased utility bill, but forgets the increased cost of the panels, installation, bldg fees etc. Pay back is always 20-40 years. !!!
     
  17. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    it depends on your location. the way most companies are doing it today, you get an immediate payback in your monthly bill, with no upfront costs.
     
  18. Corwyn

    Corwyn Energy Curmudgeon

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    Ok, you got it. This is the math for an actual solar farm that is being installed in my town (with my encouragement, but not my participation).

    Panel Cost (installed): $3.40 per peak Watt.
    Maintenance costs: ?? perhaps $100 / year.
    Renewable energy credits: ?? perhaps $100 / year.
    Insolation *here* for south facing fixed panels at angle equal to latitude (includes weather losses): 1.55 kWh per year / Peak Watt.
    Cost of grid electricity: $0.158 / kWh.
    Financing interest rate (obtained through the installer): 2% per annum.
    Assumed electrical usage 6000 kWh / year.
    Minimum payment to electric company $120 / year.
    Current electric bill: $79 / month.

    So, participating in this solar farm at the level of 450 kWh / month (500 - 450 to account for minimum payment), one needs to generate 5400 kWh per year, or 3,483 peak watts of solar panels (call it about 12 panels). This will cost around $11,842.
    Financing that cost at 2% for 16 years, 11 months* gives a monthly payment of $68.81, plus $10 electric company min = $78.81. Thus participants would be saving $0.19 per month from day 1. After 16 years, they would be getting electricity for $120 per year.

    This is NOT a payback, that would come way sooner. This is TIME TIL FREE. Call it 17 years, with a fixed cost (no inflation, which looks to be about 20% for us this year) at whatever they are currently paying, and then basically free electricity, just paying for upkeep on the physical grid.

    So, let's see the actual math you used to get your estimate of 20 - 40 years payback!

    * - not the actual financing period.
     
  19. Andyprius1

    Andyprius1 Senior Member

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    Thankyou for your math, however much of it is theoretical, a couple of unknowables, at this point in time. Having the whole town participate and sharing the costs is much more efficient. What I am really looking for is: a solar installation in a private house that has been operating for 2-3 years with real math. Don't misunderstand me I am a PV aficionado and installed a tiny system myself, 1 KW, 4 panels, from my estimates, payback is far in the future. I will only know after one year. At that point I receive a check from my utility, I am not enthusiastic at all about the amount I'll receive.
     
  20. cyclopathic

    cyclopathic Senior Member

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    A couple things to consider:
    - Include Federal and state credits (Fed 30%, state check? some states give very good credits!)

    - $3.4 is too expensive; the cost of kit is ~$1/W. Suppose if you don't wanna DIY you still shouldn't pay more then 100% mark up.

    - Another aspect: actual exposure time, at some locations you get 6.5-7hr annual daily avg. Others 3.5hr if lucky.

    - Cost of electricity: varies from under $.10 to $.40+
     
    #60 cyclopathic, Dec 5, 2014
    Last edited: Dec 6, 2014