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It's official Toyota is full speed fuel cells for compliance after 2014

Discussion in 'Prius, Hybrid, EV and Alt-Fuel News' started by austingreen, May 13, 2014.

  1. Scorpion

    Scorpion Active Member

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    I'm not so sure.......check this out:
    Compare Side-by-Side
    Range is 160 miles, more than ANY non-Tesla EV, including, ironically enough, the highest-range non-Tesla EV out there......the Rav4 EV. Also, fills up in a few minutes on road trips
    But that applies to the FCX Clarity several times over. Think about how cheap it would be to put up a bunch of CNG pumps along I-80 from Reno to NYC. Natural gas flows everywhere in this country and a simple pump that dries and compresses it to about 5000 psi would be all that is needed. By contrast, the FCX Clarity would require billions in new electrolysis or NG reforming facilities.
    No offense taken! It is Toyota/Lexus that should be apologizing :whistle:
    Fl-Prius Driver gave the reasons, and I'll quote here........
    Would love to hear from Toyota! Hello?
     
  2. Scorpion

    Scorpion Active Member

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    Here are some details:

    2015 Toyota Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle First Drive - Motor Trend

    10,000 psi would hold a lot of CNG. At that level, CNG approached gasoline in energy density.
    And, [HSD + ICE] is cheaper and longer-lasting than [FC's + HSD].
    <sigh> Toyota, what are you doing? :rolleyes: o_O
     
  3. Trollbait

    Trollbait It's a D&D thing

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    It was fleet sales only, but there was a CNG Crown Vic before the Civic.
    Honda and Mercedes are the only companies I'm aware of that had pilot programs leasing FCEVs to private citizens

    The Insight was limited by the two seats, and the Civic hybrid by its price for their sales.
    I defended the Insight2 design because the profile does go back to the CRX and Aztek, but it was hard after awhile. Owners do have positive things to say about the car. Like the cargo area being more usable by being longer than the Prius c. Honda would have done better just giving the US the Fit hybrid though.
    The first Accord hybrid was too early for a power hybrid. Maybe if it had been an Acura. The CRZ seemed to be trying to do too much at once.



    The lack of public refueling structure is what kept CNG Civic sales low, and limited other models to fleet sales. Those available were likely low pressure that took up to 20 minutes to fill a car. The company that made the Phil home refueling station went out of business. Phil required annual servicing that could run to $2000. The Civic CNG had the range of the gasoline one, and lost trunk space to the fuel tank. Which was where the hybrid battery went. A CNG Accord hybrid wouldn't work as a CARB compliance car. It seems easily forgotten that the Accord PHEV is only sold in two states.


    I and others have asked, "why not simply burn the NG in an ICE" on other fuel cell threads. It does have potential for a fuel over gasoline and diesel, but also has some drawbacks. The big one it shares with FCEVs, the tanks. Physics dictate the shape, limiting packaging within a personal vehicle, and regulations give them a shelf life.

    For shipping trucks, those are minor issues, and companies are switching fuels there. Perhaps that will expand
    It would hold more, but possibly not enough to justify the infrastructure cost. There are CNG stations out there already. Not many, but they won't be able to fill up a 10K psi tank all the way. Anybody know why the CNG tanks are limited to 5000psi now?

    The refueling psi might be an issue for the FCEVs coming out soon. Some of the few hydrogen stations might only fill to the 7000psi of earlier cars. So shorter range from those stations.
    public refueling stations in the future. IIRC, GM announced offering the Impala with a dual-fuel CNG option.
     
  4. GrumpyCabbie

    GrumpyCabbie Senior Member

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    And I don't know of the legislation in the US but I know the LPG tanks here need an annual inspection and they operate nowhere near 5000 psi. The tanks are going to need to be inspected annually, and that then begs the question of who by and for how much. I can't imagine your average Honda or Toyota dealer are going to have the necessary experience or insurances.
     
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  5. Sergiospl

    Sergiospl Senior Member

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  6. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    +1
    Thanks for review, which still didn't tell us the main answers. What does this cost? How many do they expect to sell? How much does that hydrogen tank still cost. I would like to see a test drive comparo against a volt with solar panels and a prius, in southern california driving pattern (where the bulk of these will go)

    10,000 psi cng would have one of the same technical challenges as hydrogen. The tanks are much more expensive than 3600 psi tanks that are standard, unless toyota can tell us they only cost a little more and specify price, I wouldn't jump to that conclusion. Since the bulk of the infrastructure is for 3600 psi, you need to size the tank for 3600 psi, if you have a higher preasure tank, you can simply fill it with more.
    http://www.nytimes.com/2013/10/30/automobiles/natural-gas-waits-for-its-moment.html?_r=0

    A much easier way to use natural gas in cars is flexfuel methanol. CARB doesn't like the idea and they helped kill the methanol stations in california, but perhaps california voters could help with this insanity. We do have the picken's plan for using natural gas in trucks, and this could be done quickly and provide cross country fueling for cng. It is fairly cheap as government programs go to reduce the dependance on foreign oil, but hit road blocks from the koch brothers and the ethanol lobby in congress. THere is starting to be state by state progress.
    http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/23/business/energy-environment/natural-gas-use-in-long-haul-trucks-expected-to-rise.html

    I could see a push for lng and cng stations in texas and california, as diesel trucking pollution is a major source of bad air in houston and southern california. Hopefully the federal government could kick in some more help for Nevada, Arizona, and New Mexico, so vehicles could move easily between the pushed states, and go into the nearby states.
     
  7. hill

    hill High Fiber Member

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    Do you know how much juice it takes to drop temps close to absolute zero - in order to liquify ng? Too bad relatively low pressure methol keeps getting ignored.
    .
     
  8. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    Are you talking to me? I posted the NYT articles informationally, but continue to push open fuel standard that would allow methanol to be used in light vehicles. In a camry sized car or smaller, a flex fuel hybrid or flex fuel plug-in hybrid that can burn M85 makes a lot more sense than a cng or fuel cell car for at least the next 5 years. This gets rid of infrastructure problems, as california already had 100 M85 stations that worked and could easily be brought back to life. It is not as if the costs are anything like building the hydrogen highway.

    Now on the pollution front M85 is not as clean as cng and lng. That may be one excuse for why CARB turned against it, but in a hybrid camry like car it is far lower than typical pollution from your average california vehicle. A M85 fuel tank needs to be 75% larger to have the same range, but that is relatively easy.

    For medium and heavy duty trucks though air pollution is still a big problem in southern california, and houston, and indeed even in south texas at the eagle ford which has a huge amount of natural gas. For the 8 million of these trucks that burn 15% of the US's oil, there is a great reason to liquify the natural gas. Fuel tanks are too large to use cng, so it must be liquid fuel. It is more efficient to liquify the natural gas and burn it in an ice designed for it (130 octane), then convert it to methanol and burn it in an engine designed for it(M85 102 octane, but should be able to burn 87 octane E10). Even better the extra energy comes from electricity instead of natural gas, so you can use non-fossil fuels in the future. Liquifying the natural gas can be done on site reducing transporation costs for the infrastructure, not a big deal in houston or LA, but it is a big deal in bfe. The problem simply is the cost of the trucks and risk of prices for natural gas. Today lng is about $1.00 cheaper than diesel per gallon, and the government doesn't tax it the same so $1.50/gallon. If we start exporting natural gas though the price could go up. The government could guaranty some amount of money to buyers of the trucks that ng won't rise above a certain price, or they will pay them. This could be enough to get the infrastructure built, and the price of ng trucks down.
     
  9. Scorpion

    Scorpion Active Member

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    Well, there you go. I think we've hit on the real reason for all this FC insanity. Well if CARB can conjure up car specs devoid of any grounding in energy economics, then I can do better. See my next post.
    True, but let's remember that when the Civic GX was released back in '02, U.S. natural gas prices were 5x what they are now. Ironically enough, it is cheap natural gas that is 'driving' this renewed interest in FCVs. NG keeps getting ignored for direct burn, probably thanks to ethanol and Koch, as AG mentioned. Pickens needs to step up his lobbying :p
    There is hope:
    Gas 2 | Bridging the gap between green heads and gear heads.
    What I would like to do is compare loss of cargo and/or passenger space between PHEVs and a NG HEV. Yes, the standard gasoline Civic will have more of one or both since it has a smaller tank and no battery. A standard hybrid battery is very small in size by now, so it wouldn't result in much loss in cu ft....a CNG tank, it all depends on psi and how much range you want.
    What is interesting is to compare the loss in cargo area due the larger battery of going from HEV->PHEV. Then, compare if we simply would have been better off putting in a CNG tank whose volume roughly equals the [gasoline tank+ extra batteries] of a PHEV. Make it carbon fiber, and the incremental increase in cost should be LESS than the incremental increase in cost for the extra batteries involved in going HEV->PHEV. Oh, and also weighs far less.
    Yep, we def talked about this one in another thread. I'll try to look it up. In order to save money on cost, minimize size and make packaging easier, why not just go with a beach-ball size CNG tank, a perfect sphere with volume of 4 gallons? @ 3000 psi
    would hold the equivalent energy of 1 gallon of gasoline......so about 30-50 miles for a hybrid. A perfect sphere is the strongest shape, so you could build it with the cheapest materials, no need for carbon fiber.

    There you go, you do daily driving on CNG (after slow-filling up overnight with home compressor), and switch to gasoline (or methanol) for longer trips. The rest of the gasoline tank could wrap around the CNG sphere in a semi-cirle.....I call it the "planet Saturn" tank
    Given that range-extenders change oil only once/year, it might make a lot of sense for a 10,000 psi carbon-fiber tank in a EREV. I'm sure they'll train people for the annual inspection.
    There you go! We can see the from this that the annual fuel cost for the Civic Natural Gas -if it had a hybrid drivetrain- would be about less than $700, as you said, less than the PiP.
    If one wonders about conspiracies to keep NG away from the American consumer, one must ask why the U.S. has the world's cheapest NG, but the largest fleet of NG cars is in Iran, Pakistan, India, Italy, Brazil, Argentina? The NG Prius you linked to is from Spain......what do you think would happen if someone brought such a car to the USA...what would Big Auto and Big Oil do? I'm seriously starting to think we need a "Tesla type" company for NG vehicles since it appears the entrenched interests have no interest in serious alternatives (which FC is NOT), and Musk realized this, hence building his own infrastructure and superior products
    Well, I'll try to jump to some conclusions! See this:
    Compare Side-by-Side
    It says that the Hybrid Accord ranges from $29,155 to $34,905. The PHEV is $39,780. Yes, the PHEV is eligible for $3,000 or so in federal tax credits, but I'll leave those aside since they are temporary.
    thus, the PHEV has a price premium of $4,875 - $10,625 as compared to the HEV.

    How big a carbon fiber tank would we need?

    The HEV has a 15.8 gallon tank
    the PHEV has a 12.2 gallon tank
    thus, we can conclude that 3.6 gallons of space was lost due to the extra batteries

    So:

    If we wanted to make this a straight CNG Hybrid, we'd be able to accommodate a 16-gallon carbon fiber tank. Would that cost $4,875 - $10,625? Doubt it.
    At 10,000 psi, you'd get over 12 gallons of gasoline equivalent, or 540 miles range.
    If we wanted to use cheap old steel tanks @ 3,000 psi, this would hold 4 gallons of gasoline equivalent - good for 180 miles, a very decent commuter car given that you don't need to go to a gas station every 180 miles, but rather fill up at home, so public CNG is rarely needed. And when it is, expect fast fills-5-10 min

    If we wanted to make this a dual-fuel CNG/gasoline hybrid, then we can still accommodate a 16 gallon tank, but 4 gallons would hold CNG, and the remaining 12 gallons (or 540 miles) would hold gasoline. That 4 gallon CNG tank, if we use a cheap metal sphere like I suggested, would hold the energy equivalent of 1 gallon gasoline, good for 45-50 miles.
    There you go, daily slow-fill overnight @ home, then 45-50 miles the next day on CNG.....when it runs out, or you go on a longer trip, the car seemlessly switches to gasoline. And, you still get the idle-stop and regen braking of a hybrid.

    Such a car would be INFINITELY superior to a FCV.

    But it has to be made at a dedicated facility, you can rule out at-home refueling.
    I like and support methanol, though, since it's cheap to retrofit older cars.
    We're talking CNG, not LNG. Again, you can't fill up with methanol in your garage, but you can with CNG
     
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  10. Scorpion

    Scorpion Active Member

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    A thought experiment:

    - Take the battery out of the Chevy Volt.......it has a volume of about 17 gallons
    - Leave behind only enough batteries for regen braking and idle stop
    - Replace said battery with a 17 gallon, 10,000 psi carbon-fiber tank full of NG

    This is roughly equal to 13 gallons gasoline, good for 390-520 miles @ 30-40mpg

    Such a 'CNG Volt' would:

    - Weigh less than the current Volt
    - Cost less than the current Volt
    - Re-fuel faster than the current Volt
    - Have greater driving range than the current Volt, gasoline included
    - Have lower emissions than grid-charged Volts in MOST parts of the country
    - Not use foreign oil......EVER

    A PiP would do even better.
    what am I missing compared to FCVs?
    Care to help me out, Toyota?
     
  11. wjtracy

    wjtracy Senior Member

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    Germany discussion:

    Fuel-cell vehicles could also be a boon to renewable energy by helping to address their intermittency. One option being considered in Germany is to use excess wind power generated at night, when demand is low, to electrolyze water, making hydrogen (see “Hydrogen Could Be Key to Germany’s Energy Plans”). Sperling says using hydrogen as a way to store excess renewable energy makes sense. He also notes that there are other promising routes to low-carbon hydrogen production in development, such as engineering plants to produce hydrogen from sunlight directly, although those are in early stages of development.
     
  12. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    maybe in 20 years this will work.

    Toyota Develops New Fuel-Cell Car - SPIEGEL ONLINE


     
  13. 70AARCUDA

    70AARCUDA Active Member

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    Toyota's "phoenix"? = ...Der HINDENBERG rises from the ashes...
     
  14. Scorpion

    Scorpion Active Member

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    It sure will be interesting to see if any FCV fires/explosions receive the same level of scrutiny & media attention/hysteria as the Model S fires, which IMHO, were out of proportion.
     
  15. El Dobro

    El Dobro A Member

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    What's this button do?
    [​IMG]
     
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  16. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    I'm sure if a fcv catches fire fox, cnn, and daryl issa will be all over it. We have to remember how many gasoline vehicles catch fire, but we will hear Hindenburg when a fuel cell does. The question really is if we have less than 20,000 fuel cells at the end of 2017, when CARB has promised 53,000, and tesla has or is about to sell a sub $40K, 40 mile aer BEV with good infrastructure in california, will tax payers want to continue the $20M/year hydrogen tax, or will the hydrogen highway, get postponed again. Or will CARB ask for more money as california will need much higher subsidies to hit their goals for fuel cells.
     
  17. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    I think you are mixing things up economically. CNG is much cheaper than gasoline, but it makes the vehicle more expensive. Right not the leading cng sellers are bifuel trucks. Hybrids have less premium than cng.
    Our only source for direct comparison is the civic
    Compare Side-by-Side
    epa estimates the civic cng saves about $200/year versus the hybrid in gasoline and $500/year versus the hf model. The problem is the list price for comparably equipped vehicles $2000 more than the civic hybrid and $6700 more than the hf . The problem is few would make those numbers work with less is no way you decide to buy the car with so few stations to fill and reduced cargo volume (6.1 cu feet cng, 10.7 hybrid, 12.6 hf). Now states have incentives that kick in to sway you. Texas has $2500 to buy a cng car, California has HOV stickers I don't know about money or other states. You don't have room to make a civic cng a hybrid let alone a phev. Now you could put those tanks in a bigger vehicle, designed for them, and you have an improvement. You probably want a hatchback or stationwagon, or better yet SUV shape to hold the cng. If you optimize the ice for 130 octane of cng you can make it more efficient. The thing that is needed to get cng is a low price home refueling device. Without that I think we have infrastructure problems and you need bifuel, that takes up even more room (gas tank + cng tank).

    It was the US governments coal push in the late '70s that put out really bad natural gas regulation. This greatly delayed the natural gas boom, as it took Reagan/bush 41/and clinton to repeal some of the really bad laws passed then. Its past not present problems, but Obama when he wanted to change the federal tax credit to help cng vehicles congress lobbied against it.



    Let's agree if you make a low cost cng compressor that also removed water, one problem with the old ones, that cng would be more likely to take off, and need fewer stations, but we don't have that right now. What does it cost? Thousands of dollars for a home compressor, that price needs to come down. M85 would be a great way to reduce oil dependance, and as demonstrated in california, can be easily added to a flex fuel fleet, where stations can grow with demand. M85 has a much smaller infrastructure problem, and the hold up is building cars that can handle it (most flex fuel could handle it with a little software change).

    I brought up lng, because only 8 million medium and heavy vehicles use 15% of America's oil. These could cost effectively be transitioned to lng mainly on highways and port cities where air pollution is a problem. When you add lng stations its easy to also have cng pumps (the big cost is related to liquifying the natural gas) and also have a highway infrastructure for light cng vehicles.
     
  18. wjtracy

    wjtracy Senior Member

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    This what happens when a Tesla Model S hits a FCV head on at 70 MPH
     
  19. 70AARCUDA

    70AARCUDA Active Member

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  20. Troy Heagy

    Troy Heagy Member

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    I just saw a Lexus ad on youtube where they say

    "Electric cars hold you back" (image of Leaf with 4 hour recharge time) "Lexus hybrids do not."

    So much for the apology.... Toyota is continuing its same anti-EV behavior.