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Next voltec, what do you think of the new rumors

Discussion in 'Chevrolet Volt' started by austingreen, Jun 14, 2012.

  1. FL_Prius_Driver

    FL_Prius_Driver Senior Member

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    Do we have a new standard now? When I joined PC, future Prius rumors and speculation were interesting and stimulating threads. Some posters even went as far as putting concept car photos as their avatar. Are we now to be so restrictive in what we can say about future Prius developments?
     
  2. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    Can you tell me what the offending piece of information is? Then at least I can comment on it. I would expect the casual prius chat reader that doesn't understand engineering to hear bigger more expensive engine, and start thinking worse fuel economy. I would expect those that do understand things about cars, that this is a incremental improvement. My goals here were to discuss the technology. What are your goals?

    That is a much more pertinent question. The rumor seems to be about voltec 1.5, which means we can expect small not large changes. Since the aer for 2013 is improving to 98mpge and 38 miles with a 16.5kwh pack. I would expect electrical efficiency to stay about the say, but SOC may enlage with a more powerfull ICE, and pack size to be 16kwh or slightly larger to get around 40 miles aer. No need to change that. We have from low to high prius phv 11@95mpge, energi 20@100+ mpge, volt 38@98mpge, leaf 73@99mpge. I don't think there is much room for the volt to improve.

    HV efficiency should improve, but this will be a marginal improvement. Without seeing the bsfc curves or the engine choice there is no way to know. The 2013 fussion energi gets 45mpg in CS with a 2L atkinson ice, I would expect the volt to be between this and its current 37mpg.

    The cost to gm of the ice should go up. If it is a 2L DI turbo perhaps $1000/car, less if its a lesser engine. Weight of the engine may also go up, there should be offsetting cost and weight reductions in other parts. Not being in a gm planning meeting there is no way to know how their costs will change, I would expect a small drop in price along with an increase in performance, giving the buyer a better value proposition. The volt now is only about $2K more after tax credits than a prius phv, I don't think they will price it bellow the prius.

    I don't expect a total redesigned volt gen 2 until 2016 or 2017, but if this is the gen 2 there could be more far reaching changes.
     
  3. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    Same as before. Goals were stated. So, intent was quite clear.
     
  4. San_Carlos_Jeff

    San_Carlos_Jeff Active Member

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    It's quite telling that you don't seem to have any issues with these types of discussions on other threads (for example: 2015 PIP to will have a significantly longer range | PriusChat)
     
  5. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    What are your goals and intention? It seems quite clear your goal is to have a double standard. I don't know why, but I can guess. Why don't you spell it out so that we know.

    If you don't mean yourself, tell us who in the sentence. Otherwise it is quite meaningless unless you mean you have stated your goals, and if you have I doubt they were the truth. What are those goals and intentions. You are being quite obtuse.
     
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  6. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    I can refer back to posts in other threads that already state PHV goals. There's no problem doing the same for Volt. We just need that clarity in the first place.

    Remember, they were the ones who insisted the Volt past not be brought up anymore. That's why I have to ask for fresh information now.
     
  7. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    John if you are going to bring up goals, the least you can tell us is "Who's goals" and "What those goals were and when they were made". By attempting to shut down discussion with anonymous criticism of someone's goals and no mention of what they are and how they make this discussion hype, I am at quite a loss. Perhaps someone can help you communicate your idea with more clarity. It certainly seems that your reason for posting is not constructive otherwise.

    Edit, I'll start. GM's original goal was 40 miles aer, the 2010 missed that goal and hit 35 miles. Incremental improvement in 2013 raised it to 38, and I expect the volt 1.5 to reach the original goal of 40 miles. GM's original goal in 2008 for charge sustain was 50 mpg. During development they did not have resources to use the engine they wanted and dropped the goal to get something out by the end of 2010, the 2011 volt reached 37mpg and was shipped on time. This goal was dropped, but a more powerfull and efficient ice is the new goal for voltec 1.5.

    Toyota's phv goal was 15 miles blended charge depletion range stated in 2012. The 2012 hit 11 miles. We have no new goals from toyota.

    Note the lack of hype in the new rumors. That fuel cell, much longer range for the plug in prius thread you commented on was full of hype. Its that false hope you were talking about. It just won't happen, but there you were, oh well. We've been burned by toyota's fuel cell talk before.
     
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  8. dbcassidy

    dbcassidy Toyota Hybrid Nation, 8 Million Strong

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    Like, wow, this is one heck of a rumor!

    DBCassidy
     
  9. drinnovation

    drinnovation EREV for EVER!

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    As I am probably one of the unnamed "they", I find it ironically sad that you are doing exactly what I asked not be be done, making vague statements about the past without actual citations. If you want to go cite articles about the past goals, as stated by GM not random PC posters, that's fine. But your memory of the past seems to mix factual statements, and opinions as if they are equal.

    Your asking for fresh information now has been asked and answered.. GM has not stated new goals.
     
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  10. hill

    hill High Fiber Member

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    I'm hoping the second generation model will be the one that gets their promised 230 miles per gallon.
    :)

    .

    SGH-I717R ? 2
     
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  11. Trollbait

    Trollbait It's a D&D thing

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    Audi, or more accurately, the company that developed the wankel genset reported the same. While a few found the constant drone at ideal rpm irritating, most simply didn't like the fact that pedal inputs at no affect on the engine sound. So, for the road models, they programmed in 3 rpm settings as opposed to the original one.

    I can't imagine including this serial, pluse-glide mode being more complicated than a programming addition to the Volt. Consumers are already trying to implement it with the mountain mode games. So why not?
     
  12. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    Hey Hill,
    The voltec 1.5 will probably do that on the NEDC cycle. Definite hype from the days before the epa changed its rules, based on counting gasoline as 0, as the europeans still do on one of their ratings. EPA has fixed their methods, to one that seems fairly good, electric mpge in CD, then gasoline in CS. Note on this thread we are talking about nothing like that, in fact the gains seem quite incremental and doable. Don't fall into john's trap. But let's definitely separate CD from CS in claims to avoid any of that past hype.

    What do you think of the real topics of the thread? Slight increase in AER miles, as well as a more suitable range extending ice than the one that was rushed in, which should give a slight increase in CS fuel economy. They seem to be mainly trying to make it better instead of making it cheaper, which some like and some don't. It definitely seems to be a good thing to me that GM is investing engineering resources in the volt, and is slowly advancing its tech. 2012my fixed its AT-PZEV status, 2013my slightly increase electrical efficiency and range, 2014my or 2015my does a more major change to a more powerfull efficient motor. Nothing earthshattering, but investment is good. That rumor thread john commented on has the prius phv in gen IV guise adding "significantly longer range". 2015 should have many more and/or improved choices than today:)
     
  13. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    I get a little of that even in my prius:) I just make sure I have music on. When my stereo was stollen it was quite irritating, but all is good now. IMHO they should offer both modes. The current volt engine though did not get efficient until 3500 rpm, a revised ice should be different.

    It is mainly software, but having worked a great deal on software, I know its quite complicated for auto companies to get right. They will have had 3 years though, plenty of time. To get an optimal solution you would do different engine tuning. IMHO they should do it, the volt engineers want to do it, the only question is whether management gives them resources. Since it won't reflect on the EPA sticker, just in the real world, I just don't know.

    Mountain mode should go away, but in the 2013 the volt gets hold mode, which means less games. The car won't try to charge up the battery more. This is quite different than a mode that simulates pulse/glide. But with hold owners may be even more likely to use the ice only on the highway, and most of the benefit of electronic pulse/glide is on roads bellow 50 mph which will boost city mileage.
     
  14. Trollbait

    Trollbait It's a D&D thing

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    It was the original operation of the Volt prototypes. I wouldn't be surprised if the software routine is still in place.

    Many hybrids have an eco mode which has no bearing on the EPA test, so the idea of this being optioned for the next Volt is out of line. Depending on the required resources, it could appear before the new ICE.
     
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  15. drinnovation

    drinnovation EREV for EVER!

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    The car already does a programmed pluse-glide in the CS mode at low speed. It pluses long enough to get the engine hot and generates excess eletricty while running in parallem mode, then switches to serial mode and shuts off the engine. Luckily the RPMs are all so low you don't really hear the engine so its not too disconnected, its mroe the quiet sounding of the Volt.

    But MM games are more about saving EV for city driving and using CS for the highway. Its not about pluse and glide but the human operaator knowing what will happen in 20 min where they will be in traffic. No software will do that until it knows you desired path, not just the current state.
     
  16. Trollbait

    Trollbait It's a D&D thing

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    But it doesn't do it at high speed like the Hyundai hybrids, and which seems to have been the Volt's original design. Which lead to favoring ride quality over efficiency. I don't see the harm in offering it as an eco mode. As with the hybrids that offer such a mode, if the driver wants to sacrifice something for maximum efficiency, let them. Those that find the engine noise and vibration unacceptable just won't use it.

    I thought there was a version where MM was engaged to bring the SOC up, then turned off to drive in EV, and repeat. A modified pulse and glide technique that allowed some Volt hypermilers to reach high CS fuel economy.
     
  17. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    The current software does a pulse and glide "light". The engineers were talking about something much more aggressive and higher in fuel savings, especially if the driver hypermiled. That would have effected tuning of the ice, and a higher rpm/power at its lowest level along with more time with the ice off. The new ice will likely be quiter at this efficient speed, the gen III prius greatly shifted down hp where it was most efficient. That should get rid of some of the NVH complaints, but really if you give the driver the option it seems like a win for gm. This could also be done in the prius phv.

    Hold likely is better than MM.
    BMW has been experimenting with hooking the gps up, and analysing it for how the batter and ice is used. That is probably the way of the future, but I doubt savings are much more significant than a hold mode.
     
  18. drinnovation

    drinnovation EREV for EVER!

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    The pluse-glide can happen at any speed, if the load on the car is light enough. I've hat it happening at 70mph, but that was on a long-down hill. Normally one sees it at 45-60 mph.

    Yes MM can be engaged to bring the SOC back up to a minimum level. I do that when I can engage it on down-hill sections (where I can keep the RPM < 1600 while recharging), and used to think I cold get slightly better MPG_CS that way. More recent experiments are making me reconsider that, as my best MPG_CS (50MPG) has been just using MM for the city portion, using the charge/glide on the same trip I only did 47-48MPG. But I've yet to do enough controlled experiments/measurements to reach a strong conclusion.
     
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  19. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    It was 20 km. That's 12.4 miles. It was stated over and over again throughout the years of development. The 15 didn't even emerge until the reveal in September 2011. Are you saying that tweaks to promotional materials just prior to rollout count as a goal?

    So, the precedent is to stick exclusively to EPA rating? Not being allowed to use real-world data... hmm?

    I see & understand your points, but those fail to acknowledge the purpose of goals. They are to set a basis of measure during the development process. That's the only way constructive & unbias evaluation can take place. It's like stating a hyphothesis prior to beginning an experiement. It also means, all will learn from the results... rather than having to defend any particular stance.

    As for some supposed "fuel cell" comment, I have no idea what you are talking about. More and more here, I see that others are associating quotes with me, assuming I was the source. On the non-Toyota forums & blogs, that pattern emerged awhile back. They'd make reference to a thread I hadn't even participated on. That made it easy to confirm. Here, with so many more active threads and discussions continuing so much longer, that's going to be a challenge. Also, it's extremely difficult to follow cross-talk... where posts all within the same timespan encompass multiple threads. Reading just one delivers a different context.

    So, it should be considered reasonable to ask for clarity.
     
  20. finman

    finman Senior Member

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    who cares what the volt 'technical' rumors are...what is the rumored sticker price? until it shows closer to $30,ooo ON the WINDOW, GM is not selling many. Too few can even hope to afford this 'great' car. And that'll have to wait until the new volt rolls out to the dealers...
     
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