Heartland Institute...a change of heart?

Discussion in 'Environmental Discussion' started by tochatihu, Feb 15, 2012.

  1. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    Yeah I know I shouldn't be the one to start this thread. So I'll leave it to your web searching skills to fill in several gaps.

    I just want to start us here

    http://heartland.org/press-releases...-institute-responds-stolen-and-fake-documents

    and from that, quote an excerpt

    "We respectfully ask all activists, bloggers, and other journalists to immediately remove all of these documents and any quotations taken from them, especially the fake “climate strategy†memo and any quotations from the same, from their blogs, Web sites, and publications, and to publish retractions.
    The individuals who have commented so far on these documents did not wait for Heartland to confirm or deny the authenticity of the documents. We believe their actions constitute civil and possibly criminal offenses for which we plan to pursue charges and collect payment for damages, including damages to our reputation. We ask them in particular to immediately remove these documents and all statements about them from the blogs, Web sites, and publications, and to publish retractions.
    How did this happen? The stolen documents were obtained by an unknown person who fraudulently assumed the identity of a Heartland board member and persuaded a staff member here to “re-send†board materials to a new email address. Identity theft and computer fraud are criminal offenses subject to imprisonment. We intend to find this person and see him or her put in prison for these crimes."

    I marked one section in bold (the italics are original). I cannot find any analogous Heartland statements concerning previous sets of CRU-derived emails published on the web.

    Therefore I conclude that Heartland is now setting a new, higher standard with regard to damage to reputations that may result from unauthorized publication of private communications. The credibility of any such effort would be greatly enhanced, were it to extend to those CRU emails. And be applied to Culcinelli, and Imhofe, and so on down the list.

    As you know I'd much rather discuss the science, with emphasis on the more favorable findings with respect to climate change. But Hearland's statement might actually help towards that goal, if they mean it and mean to stand by its ramifications.
     
  2. JimboPalmer

    JimboPalmer Tsar of all the Rushers

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  3. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    Changing K-12 science education can be Jimbo's angle. I already stated my interest. So to flesh that out a little, I link to an earlier Heartland statement on (the first set of) CRU emails

    http://heartland.org/policy-documents/climategate-opportunity-stop-and-think

    and extract a paragraph which seems to me to represent the earlier way that they vewed the public release of private documents

    "The release of these documents creates an opportunity for reporters, academics, politicians, and others who relied on the IPCC to form their opinions about global warming to stop and reconsider their position. The experts they trusted and quoted in the past have been caught red-handed plotting to conceal data, hide temperature trends that contradict their predictions, and keep critics from appearing in peer-reviewed journals. This is new and real evidence that they should examine and then comment on publicly."

    So, a change or heart or not? Please read both links entirely (not just my excerpts) before deciding.
     
  4. icarus

    icarus Senior Member

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    Ayn Rand would be proud, as well should know the "market place solves everything!

    Icarus
     
  5. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    From your link
    Let's let them tell us which ones are fake. IMHO those CRU emails were fair game, and leaked not stolen. This is likely the same. A little fresh air into the CRU and Heartland are good disenfectants:D
     
  6. mojo

    mojo Senior Member

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    If Heartland committed fraud using public funding ,then they should have their emails examined under FOIA.
    Otherwise their private info is private.
    Do you think Julian Assange's private info deserves to be made public?Just out of spite?

     
  7. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    Austin, Heartland has identified a particluar pdf as not theirs, and withheld comment on the others. My info may be hours old though.

    I am not as interested in the pdfs' content as others may be. I am interested Heartland's strongly-stated thesis, 'private is private'.

    Now, various universities and other publicly funded institutions have held that their employees' emails are private, even those who receive government funding. No court has yet overturned that, to my knowledge.

    There is a lot of reportage associated with the receipt of government funding, but it does not include emails. Visit a nearby university and talk to their external-funding office, They can tell you all the details, and >10 such are conveniently close to San Francisco (for example).

    I'm intersted in 'private is private' because I agree, and because it tends to direct our attention back to science. I absolutely hope Hearland joins me in that.

    Mojo, I might discuss wikileaks with you, after you write these words "I am trying to distract this discussion". You're welcome to attempt to highjack the thread (as I have done to other Environmental threads), but I started this discussion for a reason.

    Leaked or purloined, not much difference to me. At Judith Curry's the CRU emails were described as 'liberated'. Does that suit better?

    Now you've got me hijacking my own thread...cut it out.
     
  8. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    As you mentioned the F word, actually Section 501(c)3 organizations (such as Heartland) can commit fraud, or otherwise run afoul of tax regulations, especially related to political activity. But I'd rather leave that to their lawyers and their detractors per se.

    private is private
     
  9. wjtracy

    wjtracy Senior Member

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    ....ah its reverse Climategate...should cancel it out then
     
  10. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    Ah. I find in the modern world when we use corporate computers, privacy is not even implied. I wish that were different. I did not see much of a personal nature leaked in any case, but I did not follow these stories well enough to know if that was an issue.

    There were accusations that some scientists at CRU were not being straight forward with the data, and the leaked emails confirmed this. There are accusations that Heartland also is not straight forward with its data, and these emails also seem to show that. No real suprises here except for true believers. The interesting thing in the heartland emails is how they "leagally" are using misleading data to try to screw up science teaching in our schools. IMHO this is a very bad thing. The other thing that was made clear was the big oil companies - exxon mobil, chevron, bp, etc did not fund this research as has been accused. With super pacs and legalized insider trading by congress, any of this political corruption should see the light of day
     
  11. SageBrush

    SageBrush Senior Member

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    Heartland is a propaganda outlet,
    CRU is a prestigious science institute

    It is idiotic to conflate the two.
     
  12. mojo

    mojo Senior Member

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    Im the first person who posted on topic in thread.So I dont understand your confusion.
    You are also confused about the law regarding public emails working for a publicly funded University.
    Provide a court decision supporting your claim,otherwise I will disregard your opinion as bunk.
    Also your "private is private" stance might hold a bit of credibility, if you had spoken out about the Greenpeace FOIA case against Willie Soon.
    You didnt speak out then, so you have no credibility now.
     
  13. chogan2

    chogan2 Senior Member

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    Per Wikipedia:

    "Verdict: Exoneration or withdrawal of all major or serious charges"

    "Eight committees investigated the allegations and published reports, finding no evidence of fraud or scientific misconduct."

    [ame]http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climatic_Research_Unit_email_controversy[/ame]


    Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST) project, summary of findings:
    http://berkeleyearth.org/pdf/berkeley-earth-summary-20-october-2011.pdf

    "Our biggest surprise is that the new results agree so closely with the warming values published previously by other teams in the U.S. and the U.K.," Muller said. "This confirms that these studies were done carefully and that potential biases identified by climate change skeptics did not seriously affect their conclusions"
     
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  14. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    I can appreciate the 'realpolitik' perspective that no internet-based communication is ultimately safe from liberation, but it seems tangential to the question that I raised.

    Are private communications a valid basis to judge science? Or, for that matter, not-for-profit organizations?

    Not even tangential ot this discussion are documents that have been released under FOIA. Such are no longer secret. Get it? Mojo appears to have a beef with whatever organization did the releasing.

    Sage, I don't agree about conflation. If both of those organizations are acting legally, then their privacy should be assured. If not legally, there are ways to address that. But whether I embrace their goals matters not.

    Stating the obvious, FOIA exists. Some of those efforts obtain the documents that they are looking for and others not. Prior to a successful FOIA, or warrant, or other legal paths to 'discovery', private is private.

    If no one is interested in discussing the merits of that thesis here, I'm OK with that.
     
  15. chogan2

    chogan2 Senior Member

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    I think you guys are missing the humor in all this. So, we've got an organization, what used to have a big line o' business denying that smoking causes cancer, now they got a big line o' business denying that climate change is real. Haven't even bothered to swap out the key personnel. Just slaps a new sticker over the same old stuff and shoves 'em out the door. And they gets people what takes them seriously, too, and give em' gobs o' money to do it. Maybe it's because I'm a consultant myself, but I find the whole setup just hilarious. They're like the Henry Ford of bullsh** -- you can have any topic you want, so long as you're wrong.
     
  16. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    Those interested on Universities' policies on email privacy might just as well read them. One example:

    http://www.washington.edu/itconnect/policy/

    It says what it says, but my summary related to this thread is
    (a) don't act illegally
    (b) if you are accused (via appropriate legal channels) of acting illegally, university emails can be used as evidence.

    In two climate related matters, Penn State reviewed Mann's emails and found no evidence of wrongdoing. U Va has declined so far to release Mann's emails to external scrutiny.

    Logical thinkers here will grasp that those cases are aside from the matter I had hoped to discuss.
     
  17. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    Chogan2 follows the spirit (at least) of what I had in mind here. Concerns about validity of instrumental temperature records were allayed (to some degree?) by BEST. Concerns about paleotemperature proxy reconstructions were quelled by the NAS 2006 report. In both cases, science prevailed (at least, sought to prevail) over appearance of malfeasance in (private) emails.

    Private until made legally otherwise by FOIA or other legal mechanisms.

    In my view, the other matter raised in CRU email 'liberations' was a conspiracy to prevent publication of scientific studies not supportive of mainstream climate science. This one has not been dispatched as the other two above. It is qualitatively different because it is not readily confirmed or disputed by scientific study.

    Most I can say is that non-mainstream papers do get published. Not just in Energy & Environment, either. In fact when I trot out relatively good news, like the "Himalayan glaciers are not melting in composite per GRACE", I am (in part) demonstrating that the publication-blocking conspiracy either does not exist, or it is ineffective. Again, this will not have escaped our logical thinkers here.

    So we are off in other directions now. But that's PC for ya.
     
  18. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    I would hardly call withdrawl of charges exoneration, or wikiedia a full accounting of CRU. It is chilling that a major organization promised to destroy evidence rather than allow peer review, and this is somehow chosen to be fine and dandy because the story supports warming and the investigators think this is all that important. Academic honesty be damned. Fradulent doctorate doing fake research on diesel at CARB. Its all good, let him keep his job too, it supports the politics. Iran Contra seemed to view Bush and Regan either innocent or withdrawn with no charges in Iran Contra. I've been reading on that with the current iran situation. I guess North's conviction reversal meant that the administration did the right thing - give arms in reward to terrorist then use the money for an illegal war, because all the main players were absolved:mad:

    http://www.climategate.com/climategate-professor-phil-jones-could-face-ten-years-on-fraud-charges
    I find the liberation of evidence equal. I've been in many companies and was at first shocked at how some spied on their employees/students.

    No absolutely not. Bad evidence does not mean the theory is necessarily bad, it requires evidence to the contrary. I don't believe it exists in either case. In the case of heartland though, it is clear that the misleading evidence is there to obfuscate and stop people understanding the true data. In their case they are trying to use it to mislead the teaching of climate science. I prefer to let that leak happen and allow people to understand what heartland is doing. The genie is out of the bottle.
     
  19. chogan2

    chogan2 Senior Member

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    Well, yeah to all of that, but I think this misses another significant difference.

    With the CRU hack, you had emails, which are fractured by their nature, and they selected a bunch of snippets, taken out of context. Then you have to make up an interpretation of that. In hindsight, there is no doubt that some of the denialists' allegations based on that were just dead wrong. And we can debate the rest of them.

    Here, it's their friggin' workplan. The core is one coherent planning document. Names, dollar amounts, key personnel, milestones, funding goals, policy goals. You name it. All laid out, from start to finish, no gaps, no snippets.

    Yeah, there may be some awkward language that they would have phrased differently if for public consumption. (I bet the part about scaring teachers away from teaching science falls into that.) But by and large, zero ambiguity here.

    They are doing here, for climate change, what they did for the tobacco-cancer link.. And I wish them every bit as much success in the long run as they had in their previous endeavors.
     
  20. chogan2

    chogan2 Senior Member

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    More seriously, Mr. T, it's all about strength of inference. Information is what it is, it doesn't care about provenance, or legality, or any of the rest of it. The morality of information release is a sideshow. The question is, what do we know, and how to do we know it.

    You are, appropriately I think, focused on the formal literature. Basically, you are focused on what smart people think. And you discount what the ignoranti say. There's definitely merit in that.

    But that, in isolation, may not be the most efficient estimator. It ignores the potential for the perfect negative indicator.

    For example, when I want to know what stupid people are thinking, I go read the comments on Yahoo. True to its name, you pick the topic, you'll see what the consensus of ignorance has to say about it.

    For global warming, I've taught my kids that once you've pegged some website by a particular, easily demonstrable lie (e.g., volcanoes emit more C02 that humans), then you should not merely ignore that site. Instead, you will find such sites to be very good guides to what is not true in this area.

    In other words, on this topic, errors do not occur at random. Instead, errors are highly correlated. Liars tend to be consistent liars, idiots tend to be consistently idiotic, conspiracy freaks tend to be consistently paranoid.

    And, therefore, an efficient estimator will use strong negative correlations to get a more efficient estimate than can be had from positive correlations alone. You can get to the truth quicker if you not only finger the smart guys and use them as a guide to what's right, but also finger the dummies and use them as a guide to what's wrong. (Note, again, that doesn't work if errors occur at random).

    So, literally the same guys who tried to tell me cigarettes don't cause cancer, they're now getting paid to tell me that climate change isn't real? I couldn't ask for a better indicator than that.
     
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