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Another BS hit piece on EVs

Discussion in 'EV (Electric Vehicle) Discussion' started by caffeinekid, Nov 20, 2010.

  1. caffeinekid

    caffeinekid Duct Tape Extraordinaire

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    Excerpt:
    Five Reasons EVs Will Disappoint


    Notice that there is no 'COMMENTS' section so that a person who actually knows what they are talking about can go through point by point debunking this pap.
     
  2. macmaster05

    macmaster05 Senor Member

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    Dude I HATE Yahoo reporting. Almost everything Yahoo prints is a non-story. I've considered not visiting yahoo.com. I've already done that with CNN.com.

    Do you really believe the media anyway?
     
  3. wick1ert

    wick1ert Senior Member

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    The ONLY point in that article that I could agree with, was that they felt the electrics would catch on more in Europe, Japan, China due to the proximity of cities to each other. It's not as spread out there as it is here, and I really do think that it's going to be the biggest obstacle to overcome. It's going to take quite the cultural shift before people realize that part of the journey is getting to your destination, not how fast you can make it there.
     
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  4. caffeinekid

    caffeinekid Duct Tape Extraordinaire

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    I totally share your Yahoo! sentiments macmaster. I am too old to believe much of what gets pumped over the net-o-sphere and I turned the TV off for good a decade ago.

    I did in fact find the story on the US News website and posted a short rebuttal. Feel free to do the same:

    US News - Money
     
  5. macmaster05

    macmaster05 Senor Member

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    Nice comment. I'm surprised the author responds to comments.

    A lot of times when I come across published news stories, I don't even read the article. I skip straight to the comments. They're much more candid and indicative of what our society needs/wants. There are exceptions, however. This happens when a specious article evokes so much emotion (and intentionally so), that the majority of commenters are compelled to agree with the article. The result is irrational comments. It's sickening how the media can manufacture consent so easily.
     
  6. greenewl

    greenewl New Member

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    I also think that when EV's start doing 0-60 in 2.5 seconds, they will catch on!
     
  7. Flaninacupboard

    Flaninacupboard Senior Member

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    White Zombie = 0-60 in 1.8s...
     
  8. Cactuscoug

    Cactuscoug CactusCoug

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    Dude I HATE Yahoo reporting.


    Dude . . .Yahoo doesn't have any reporters. They assemble news stories from other sources, most notably the Associated Press. The AP is a legitimate news organization.
     
  9. caffeinekid

    caffeinekid Duct Tape Extraordinaire

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    The AP a "legitimate" news organization? :eek: Not in the years that I have been paying attention. Anyway, Yahoo! does report. They just don't write or investigate. And a lot of their material like the jobs-centric stuff is little more than underhanded advertising.
     
  10. SageBrush

    SageBrush Senior Member

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    What part of the quote in the OP was factually inaccurate ? My only complaint would be that they omitted the best choice for someone who prizes both fuel conservation and the family pocketbook: the Prius.
     
  11. pappyt

    pappyt Junior Member

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    the gm ev-1 was not a flop as reported in the story
     
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  12. SageBrush

    SageBrush Senior Member

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    pappyt,
    Perhaps that is a matter of perspective, but so far as I know, GM was unable to produce the EV-1 for profit. Maybe they could/should have continued with the car as a loss leader, or for PR purposes, or in hopes that future models would eventually become profitable. I don't tell corporations how to run their business.

    My take on the EV-1 history is that GM made the cars to comply with CARB; and when they finally got the strict ZEV mandate thrown out by litigation, the EV-1 was toast. GM is an evil, miserable corporation, but the EV-1 was a failed business case. Note that no other car company was able to make a profitable EV at that time. Heck, we are not even sure it can be accomplished today.
     
  13. wick1ert

    wick1ert Senior Member

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    I've found that most "reporting" isn't just straight reporting. It's reporting with a specific spin on what they are reporting. This is what really drives me nuts. Then again, if places reported straight facts, they wouldn't be able to get people worked up from the get-go to read all their articles.

    I think my biggest gripe to this, is comparing a Leaf to a Mazda 3/VW Golf and saying it's going to take over 10 years to re-coup the cost difference. Notice, they never actually posted how they came to this conclusion. Did they totally take out the cost of maintenance on those vehicles or just compare the "fuel" savings? There's more to the break-even point than just that. Of course, I'm sure they'd take dealer estimate prices for the Leaf and compare it to DIY prices for the ICE vehicles.

    Then they turn around and say that Diesel has a 1 to 8 year payback period. Again, no reporting on conclusion to that figure. Isn't Diesel still typically around a $3k price differential? Diesel is typically about 30-40 cents/gallon more expensive here, also.

    I don't know as much about the internals and everything, but I clearly felt that was more of an opinion piece than anything. I'm not saying that it didn't have facts to it, but they reported it in a way to push their agenda.
     
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  14. caffeinekid

    caffeinekid Duct Tape Extraordinaire

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    The problem is that the implications are patently false. The ONLY negative on the part of EVs when compared to comparable ICE vehicles is the range, but even this is being negated by a relatively eager market. Also, as has been documented and blogged ad nauseum, cars like the Leaf are not being marketed for long distance trips. With a little research, the writer could have discovered this on his own and probably would have written a complete 180 from what he did. Instead, he chose to go and throw in the Volt in order to skew the initial cost vs. payoff ratio. And the Volt isn't even an EV. Many of us true EV fans think that the Volt is a ho-hum car at best, and possibly even some sort of automotive Manchurian Candidate for the more conspiracy minded.
     
  15. pappyt

    pappyt Junior Member

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    they might not been able to make a"profit". but as far as i know all the people that leased the cars were willing to buy the cars for what gm listed them at the end of the lease. all of them and gm was hell bent on destroying them no matter what.i think that to many investors in gm at the time had to many ties to to oil companys
     
  16. SageBrush

    SageBrush Senior Member

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    I am not sure what you call comparable, but e.g., I compare a LEAF to a Prius or a Matrix, and the out-of-pocket costs are nowhere near the same.

    I am not anti-EV, the purchase price differences are simply there, and a lot. Factor in uncertainty with new tech, and the not small likelihood of battery failure way before the ~250k miles one can expect with a well made ICE car, and the costs cannot be ignored by 99% (?) of the population.
     
  17. caffeinekid

    caffeinekid Duct Tape Extraordinaire

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    Let's take a comparably equipped median-priced Matrix, assume that the owner actually even keeps it for 100K miles (many $30K vehicle consumers do not) and that oil doesn't climb up over $100 a barrel:
    2010 Toyota Matrix S ~ $22,500.00. EPA MPG 21/29
    Over 100K miles @ EPA HWY MPG, Matrix consumes ~ 3448 gallons of fuel. At today's $2.60/gallon, that comes out to be ~ $8965 in fuel. So far this equates to a total cost over 100K miles of ~ $31,500.00. I am not sure what additional maintenance on this particular vehicle would be, but adding in a simple $20 per oil change alone would add an additional $400. And then there is the timing belt maintenance, brakes and additional fluids, which I am positive would come out to more than another $600.00 making it just about the same price for ownership as the Leaf, if not more. I am also not factoring in the $7500 tax rebate which would give it a huge cost of ownership advantage over the Matrix for as long as the incentive applies.

    Even with the added efficiency of a hybrid such as the Prius, which itself comes with a premium attached, the numbers get even better for the Leaf. If you see something wrong in my thinking here, please elaborate. I know that this doesn't include the Z cost for the Leaf and isn't a precise breakdown, but it should be more than sufficient for the point I am making. :confused:
     
  18. SageBrush

    SageBrush Senior Member

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    I'll start with the simple things first, caffeinekid:

    1. Electricity costs
    2. Loan costs for the additional money up front
    3. Real world cost rather than msrp

    Depreciation is unknown, but not forgotten. I 'solve' it my calculating costs based on cradle to grave ownership. You think the traction battery is going to last ~250k miles ?

    Next, how much money should a reasonable consumer allot for new tech, in a car with no track record, from auto companies with spotty (at best) reliability records ?
     
  19. caffeinekid

    caffeinekid Duct Tape Extraordinaire

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    -Electricity costs = ?, but even if they equate to 25% of the cost of filling up a tank in an ICE vehicle for the same distance travelled, it is still a significant advantage. Especially when you add in the localized incentives such as HOV lane tags, tax breaks, etc..
    -Loan costs? Too many variables to consider. And again, with the tax credit incentives up to the manufacturers' limit of vehicles, this is not an issue for the vehicles currently in production.
    -Depreciation is yet to be gauged and doesn't generally fair very well for any vehicle including the Matrix or the Prius, but battery module prices are not guaranteed to remain as high as they are either, even when assuming you would have to replace one at 100K. After 100K, factors begin to add up against ICE vehicles as well. In the end, I believe it will be a wash out...maybe even with the EV on top.

    I agree on the unproven technology angle (from an outfit like Nissan no less), but I don't give it as much weight as you do even though I am quite familiar with the conventional wisdom of the early adopter curse. Also most consumers do not keep vehicles from "cradle to grave". I don't believe that these cars are being marketed to those who do anyway. There is always a gamble taken when buying a new introduction model of most any technology, but improvements get made, bugs get worked out and some end up making history like the Mercedes 300D, while others are relegated "lemons".
     
  20. edthefox5

    edthefox5 Senior Member

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    Tough to call it a failed business case when GM refused to sell them to the few demanding to buy them even at a premium. And eventually GM had all of the crushed.

    Its a story of oil money corrupting absolute. Much like today.
    Corrupt Legislation passed to further oil rights at the expense to consumer and enviroment. Not much has changed in the last 10 years.

    And once Ovionics sold the battery rights to Chevron not a word heard from since concerning battery development.