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Drill, baby, drill,,oops!

Discussion in 'Environmental Discussion' started by icarus, Apr 28, 2010.

  1. jayman

    jayman Senior Member

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    Yep, which will take a LONG time to do at those depths. You probably noticed that most of the technical slides referenced Sperry technology, they developed a lot of the position reference systems based on their work with ICBM and other missile guidance systems

    Yes poor old BP never seems to catch a break

    The reason is entirely political
     
  2. icarus

    icarus Senior Member

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    "Quote:
    Originally Posted by icarus
    Now after all of this, I still hear little or no call for any change in our usage behavior, only name calling about whose to blame"

    "The reason is entirely political"

    I would argue that in addition to a large layer of politics, it is more short term economic. North Americans have been sold the "wallmartization" of the world, where the philosophy is, cheap (first cost) is what is important versus value. We don't want to pay a penny more (now) for something, even though we know our choice will cost more over the long run.
     
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  3. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    It looks like another structure is over the cap, Skandi ROV2.

    Also, the spillage at the cap is much reduced. S*cks less.

    Bob Wilson
     
  4. icarus

    icarus Senior Member

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    It seems that every morning, they double the estimate of the amount of oil they are collecting,,,but at the same time they double the estimate of the volume of the leak, leaving the net result essentially the same!

    It now seems that every one has continually under "estimated" the magnitude of this tragedy, and yet the chorus of "drill, baby, drill" is back loud and clear. "Oh, if we don't start drilling again, 70,000 jobs are at risk" Too freaking bad! The few billion that these jobs cost, is loose change for the pentagon! Let's just pay these people to do something else.

    Sam Kinison once said regarding a drought in Africa, (not PC) "These people don't need food,,, they need luggage"! Take these folks, (metaphorically) train then to build and install solar and wind, fund energy conservation for home and industry and hire them to do the work. As I said in post #1 let's take this oppurtunity to do the right thing for a change! (Not likely!)
     
  5. jayman

    jayman Senior Member

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    What's the difference?

    There is none
     
  6. FL_Prius_Driver

    FL_Prius_Driver Senior Member

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    Something needs to be done, but that's not a solution. The last two US administrations resorted to the "throw 100s of billions at it" for whatever they thought the problem to be solved was. (IRAQ, TARP, Stimulus Package, etc.) We are no better off, that's for sure. The other issue is that last time oil prices shot up, critical food shortages suddenly appeared in Haiti and other poor countries. I don't want an answer that leaves millions starving. To me, the only viable answer has the following characteristics:
    1) It has to be economically motivated. Lot's of little things can be done to help this happen, and some already have.
    2) It has to come from the ground up. Looking or expecting any political party to make this happen is the wrong place to look. It has to be families and individuals making lifestyle changes, one person at a time.


    Have you ever actually talked to someone who has been in Africa trying to address starving populations. If you have, you would find out it is a rebel/political/genocidal/land-grab issue, not a shortage of food issue. Usually the food cannot get delivered due to the conveys being stopped, raided, and destroyed. While it might be nice to think the problem can be solved with "energy sources" and education, the systematic corruption, ethnic cleansing, and bad disease issues would need to be solved first.

    Please understand that I hold you in high regard. Your setting an example to me that I am trying to follow. So this is not a post to belittle you in any way. I am pointing out that the core problems are extremely difficult, interconnected and cannot be solved easily.
     
  7. qbee42

    qbee42 My other car is a boat

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    There are, however, parts of Africa that do not lend themselves to permanent occupation, at least without steady importation of food. The indigenous people of these areas were historically migratory, moving with available food and water. Modern political boundaries make this mostly impossible, so now people living in these areas suffer recurring famine.

    Corruption, wars, and political unrest add to the problem. In many other areas, corruption, wars, and political unrest *are* the problem. Africa is a big continent. It doesn't lend itself to one-size-fits-all comments.

    Tom
     
  8. FL_Prius_Driver

    FL_Prius_Driver Senior Member

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    True that one comment does not fit all, but the point was worth making.
     
  9. icarus

    icarus Senior Member

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    I am not meaning to suggest that any of the solutions are easy or simple, but let's be clear about a couple of things. I can certainly agree that Iraq was a cluster F@** from the get go, but at last count the TARP money had been more than 50% repaid, the stimulus was getting roads build and other infrastructure repairs/improvements done across the country. I think a strong case can be made that if we hadn't done the TARP and the stimulus, the results (and the economy) might have been much more dire. I might also argue that the stimulus was too small. My biggest issue with those issues right now is that we won't levy ANY taxes to pay for ANYTHING!

    I also admit that the Sam Kinison Quote is in poor taste, and indeed am in some sense reviled by it, but that said, it illustrates a point.
    The point is, reality changes, and it changes economic cirucumstances. Just like Newfoundland cod fishermen, and Northwest coast loggers learned (too late) that you can't fish to the last fish, nor cut to the last old growth stump, merely for the sake of, "it's my job" By extension, we can't drill in ever riskier environs merely because we "need the oil". That is a Hobson's choice that will inevitably lead to more such accidents. We need "luggage" We need to move on from this behavior to a more sustainable one, regardless of the short term costs, as the long term cost are killing us!

    I am suggesting that we, as a society have to seriously make the changes to reduce our impact on the planet. The issues of poverty in Africa, starvation, ethnic cleansing are all to some greater or lesser extent exacerbated by gluttony in the West. We eat too much food, we burn too much oil, we use too much water,, we use way more than our share, and yet many of us think that is our right, simply because we have the money to do so. The fact that we spend more on our military (for our "defense") than nearly the entire rest of the world COMBINED should make everyone sick! Think one could solve some poverty in Africa with a few percent of the defense dept. budget?

    I have advocated for a generation, that the earlier we make the changes, the easier it will be. Now that it is getting later, it will only be harder! I have also advocated that marginal changes can have a huge impact on the net. Everything from reducing meat consumption to driving less to funding mass transit. I just read a report of someone in Canada who, (with the aid of a government grant!) spent ~$10,000 and by insulating and modernizing his house, reduced his energy consumption by over 70%! Simple solutions, widely applied have huge benefits. We don't have to be draconian, or go back to the stone age to achieve CO2 reductions of a scale that actually do some good, AND reduce our total energy consumption to the point where peak oil is a much less threatening concept.

    If we can simply (as I have shown/done) reduce our consumption ~50% simply by conservation, how much more can be achieved with a big push toward renewables?

    All for now,, if I have offended anyone, my apologies,

    Icarus
     
  10. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Most of the tax cuts expire this year. They were passed using a trick that claimed their expiration meant they were part of a balanced budget.

    Bob Wilson
     
  11. FL_Prius_Driver

    FL_Prius_Driver Senior Member

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    Shoot, I enjoyed it. Honest differences are fun to discuss. It's worthwhile to figure out the reasons for different viewpoints. So....

    Yes, I agree fully and completely that big changes are necessary. My viewpoint is the vast majority of the population will not make changes without their being something forcing the changes at the individual motivation level. Something that economically motivates them to change. I'm pretty convinced resource usage reductions are not going to be voluntary, nor achieved with some overarching government policy or party.

    As far as the stimulus package goes, I think we are in sync actually. Paying for infrastructure is a responsibility of government, but only when properly paid for.

    It remains to be seen if TARP actually did anything good long term. I'm far from believing that it did. The government paying full price for worthless securities is going to come back and haunt us. It's just a matter of time. Germany and France can bail out the Greeks and other southern European Countries. The US can bail out all the industries "too big to fail". But who bails out the USA once US securities become unprofitable?


    So the core issue boils down to how do you make the larger society change? Needs to be a new thread.
     
  12. 2k1Toaster

    2k1Toaster Brand New Prius Batteries

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    Taxes.

    Artificially inflate the price of gas to 3 or 4 times what it currently is. That hits people where it counts, the wallet. Even that will make the Prius seem like a gas guzzler and the technology and motivation to implement it will skyrocket.
     
  13. FL_Prius_Driver

    FL_Prius_Driver Senior Member

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    That would be a good source of income. But two problems:

    1) Not going to happen in the USA. One of the consequences of living in a democracy. The price ripple effect would find it's way into everything built in the USA, ensuring sending more business overseas.
    2) The money would be spent on something other than sustainable energy. (Very much like Florida's Lottery Money "paying" for education....yeah right.) Leaving us right back where we started for the most part.

    I think that there are better ways.
     
  14. hyo silver

    hyo silver Awaaaaay

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    A local tax wouldn't do it, because it would have the same effect as many environmental laws - business will simply move to where there aren't any. Plus, a tax would be resented as artificial, and it's not likely governments would be trusted with the funds. But if our economic system somehow recognised true costs, and everybody played by the same rules, that would change things. Knowing what things really cost in terms of footprint would influence consumer behaviour. We've discussed 'foodprint' before - even a CO2 sticker on a piece of fruit would help us make more informed decisions.
     
  15. icarus

    icarus Senior Member

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    FlaP,

    "The price ripple effect would find it's way into everything built in the USA,"

    And that would be a bad thing? I understand the issue of off shoring, but if we had a sane policy that in essence forced us to pay the total cost of of our choices then perhaps we would make better choices. As it is, we pay for our cheap "stuff" at the expense to some great extent of future generations. (Not to mention developing world labor/economies and environments)

    Import tax on cheap off shore manufactured goods to off set their environmental costs? You bet! Would it disrupt the economy both here and abroad? Sure. Would it, in the long run up set the economy less that complete environmental disaster from CO2 emissions as well as the geopolitical consequences of peak oil and ever increasing energy costs? Interesting question.

    Like I suggested before, the sooner we make the hard, real choices, the easier it is going to be, and the longer we wait,,,,

    Economics is the only "science" that is predicated on the notion that ever increasing growth is not only possible, but good, and indeed essential. I think mother nature has a different opinion.

    I am not naive enough to think that we can change overnight, and we have proved quite the contrary in the last ~30 years. That said, I am convinced that if we being to make smarter choices, (conservation/RE/cogent tax and energy policy etc) we can begin to solve it. The scary part is that time is not on our side.
     
  16. hyo silver

    hyo silver Awaaaaay

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    I agree, and I think it goes much deeper. We are literally consuming the earth - our entire economy is based on destroying the environment. It comes from our definition of profit - life's essentials are deliberately excluded. Consider logging as a hastily picked, perhaps inadequate example: the logger makes money, the mill makes money, the truckers make money, paper sellers make money, but somehow the tree is not a party to the transaction, nor are the benefits it provides while alive. Clean air, water, and soil are vital for all of Life and should be thought of as infinitely valuable, yet their 'value' to our economic system is zero. Money and Mother Nature are diametrically opposed.
     
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  17. icarus

    icarus Senior Member

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    An economic analysis of forest product extraction in Northwestern Ontario, where the trees are small, the growing season is very short, the logging is remote, the cost of transport is high, reveals that the value of the trees on the stump is nearly, or in many cases less than $0. If you take the finished product, be it pulp, paper, lumber or manufactured structural products like ply, OSB, chip or particle board, and work backwards to from the mill to the hauling to the feller-buncher to the road builder etc, you soon discover that it is a net looser! And yet no politician would suggest anything other than, "we need to support our forest products community". Once again, the harsh economic reality is that many of these people "need luggage". The bush cannot support as large a population as it does,,or once did.
     
  18. FL_Prius_Driver

    FL_Prius_Driver Senior Member

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    Taxes can promote destructive behavior just as well as promote good behavior. Forcing all our industries to overseas locations that ignore any environmental costs could easily reduce oil consumption in the USA and greatly increase coal burning in China. This results in an overall worst situation. "Sane Policy" is the obvious goal, but very hard to figure out.

    That said, I do agree that a lot of obvious and hidden subsidies are causing a lot more harm than good. Each of these must be addressed one by one if any progress is to be made. It's amazing how many loopholes can be exploited anytime a significant legislative change takes place, so I'm really leery of quick fixes.


    Democracies have feedback loops that toss out ANY administration seen as not focusing on jobs and the economy. That s*cks, but that is the way things work politically. None the less, something has to be done. This is why I keep stressing the grass roots level. PriusChat has done more to improve my sustainable goals than any president, taxes, or administration ever will. Likewise, I influence those around me more than any president, taxes, or administration.

    Economics as an academic/political science promotes a lot of questionable assumptions. Economics as social barometer is quite accurate. The economics I refer to is the latter. If I tell someone that they need to change their lifestyle to save the planet, I'm (correctly) perceived as an out of touch tree hugger. If I tell someone I have saved enough gas and repairs to make my Prius cost less than their car, then I get attention. The same is true of conservation of everything else. The "I save so much more money than you and live so much nicer than you" does have a long term effect. Few ignore that truth, once they understand it.
     
  19. icarus

    icarus Senior Member

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    "If I tell someone that they need to change their lifestyle to save the planet, I'm (correctly) perceived as an out of touch tree hugger. If I tell someone I have saved enough gas and repairs to make my Prius cost less than their car, then I get attention. The same is true of conservation of everything else. The "I save so much more money than you and live so much nicer than you" does have a long term effect. Few ignore that truth, once they understand it."

    As I said earlier, I am not naive enough to suggest that what I would like to happen is ever going to happen. We can (all) argue nuance amongst ourselves forever, but your above statement is the gist of what we need to do.

    We all need to lead by example, and it is the most pervasive argument. You are 100% correct the best incentive lesson to folks is "look how much money you can save". The hard part of that, is that we have to do that on an unlevel playing field, because, as well (almost) all agree, too many of our choice some artificially cheap!
     
  20. cwerdna

    cwerdna Senior Member

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    BP engineer called doomed rig a 'nightmare well' - Yahoo! News talks about the shortcuts BP took and it being labeled a "nightmare well".

    It's really too bad the prior high gas prices and this environmental catastrophe still haven't swayed this guy who wants to buy a used Hummer H2 :mad::Cry:: Talk me out of buying an H2 hummer - MY350Z.COM Forums. I've posted a bunch of arguments, steering mostly clear of global warming (since most of those guys will poo-poo it, saying it's bogus) but no effect, yet.