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When will gas hit $3.00 again, and how high will it go?

Discussion in 'Gen 2 Prius Main Forum' started by ski.dive, Jan 7, 2010.

  1. dg1014

    dg1014 New Member

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  2. ski.dive

    ski.dive Active Member

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    ***when gas does hit $3.50, watch all the prius cars at the toyota dealer fly off the lot again.
     
  3. chuckknight

    chuckknight New Member

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    No argument there. People have short memories...when gas goes up, sales of small/efficient cars increases.

    Chuck
     
  4. dg1014

    dg1014 New Member

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    Remember what else happens when gas gets that high? Costs of everything goes up. People go broke. Sounds great doesnt it
     
  5. Politburo

    Politburo Active Member

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    I don't particularly care if the vehicle is currently in production or is only slated for production in the coming years.

    You asserted that the technology doesn't exist and that "we are a long way from that ever being practical". That is simply false.

    Now you can move the goalposts again, or you can simply admit you made a mistake.
     
  6. priushippie

    priushippie New Member

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    Local farmers benefit from high gas prices because they do not have to ship around the world. They can sell locally and survive. Besides there is always a need for food. I agree the cost will go up but people have to eat. My dream is to have gasoline costs surpass that of the alternatives. I support government control (tariffs) over imports including oil. American workers cannot compete with workers in countries that have no environmental laws and worker safety regulations. PERIOD
     
  7. dg1014

    dg1014 New Member

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    I made a mistake how Politburo. The technology is not available to the public. Its in test phases only. Yes it exists. But can you use it? The answer is no?

    Is it cost effective? We dont know that yet for sure? But not likely
     
  8. dg1014

    dg1014 New Member

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    Local farmers benefit from high gas prices because they dont have to ship around the world?

    How so?

    They can sell locally and survive. Yes they do already. They sell locally and overseas.

    This still does not explain how High gas prices benefit farmers. Or the consumer for that matter.
     
  9. dg1014

    dg1014 New Member

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    Have any of you ever seen a farmers fuel bill? What it costs to run farm equipment? After reading your comments I will say no.

    The high fuel costs of a year and a half ago caused farmers to go bankrupt. Many to never recover
     
  10. priushippie

    priushippie New Member

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    My local farmers do not have a fuel bill. They live with nature not against nature. They are Amish. :jaw:
     
  11. dg1014

    dg1014 New Member

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    So thats the best argument you have. Is go back to the preindustrial age with farming LMAO!!!
     
  12. Politburo

    Politburo Active Member

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    The fuel bill for my former farmer was not that large. The largest operating expense was labor -- all harvesting was by hand -- followed by seeds (~$10k). Fuel wasn't too high on the list from what I recall, but this clearly was not an industrial farm.

    But you already knew that, because you're able to read minds through the internet.
     
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  13. dg1014

    dg1014 New Member

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    How many acres did you farm? What was your crop? How many illegals did you employ?
     
  14. Tom183

    Tom183 New Member

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    Unfortunately, that sort of low-impact farming won't feed 6 billion people...
     
  15. Rhino

    Rhino New Member

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    It is counter intuitive. We are in a depression now, nobody buys gasoline much, gas prices are depressed even though you may think $3 is a lot of money.

    If unemployment eases up, say everyone has a job. We'll all buy houses again. Housing prices will go up. We'll all buy cars. We'll all buy gasoline. There is no way we can have a recover if gas prices stay at $3. When people have more money, they will buy more gas, and since the supply of gas is fixed, gas prices will go up in any recovery.

    The only way for gas to say $3 all year in 2010 is if the depression continues and continues. If gas prices go to $2 a gallon, we will be in a severe depression. If gas prices go to $4, we will be in a recovery.

    It is better to have a job and pay $4 for gas, then to not have a job, and have to pay $2 for gas. So I hope the gas prices will go up - so we will all be in recovery and complain about prices while holding down jobs.

    I have no money invested in oil/gas etc so I won't make any money if gas goes to $4. I am not wishing for $4 gas to make money myself.
     
  16. qbee42

    qbee42 My other car is a boat

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    The inverse of this contrapositive is not a sure thing. Gas could go to $4 while the economy stays in recession, as there are many factors affecting gas prices.

    Tom
     
  17. mindmachine

    mindmachine Member

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    You are absolutely right and a lot of people posting on here apparently don't get it.

    We have borrowed money from many countries and they currently are holding so much of our debt that the value of our dollar on the world markets is in serious jeopardy. If our dollar ever stops being the world standard for exchange than look out at he gas pump. $10 or more a gallon could become a reality overnight.
    2009 already saw discussion changing the pricing of oil
    from dollars to a market basket of currencies.

    The current weakness in the dollar is why we are seeing almost $3 a gallon gas now while most of the world is currently in a depression. Look at gold and silver. Up and down yes but around a 20 to 25% increase in price in the last 6 months.
     
  18. Tom183

    Tom183 New Member

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    Could but won't - and gas could also go to $2 in a recovery, but won't.

    The reason: our economic infrastructure (including the "new economy" of Google & Apple) is still largely tied to fossil fuels - and until we have a structural change there (we're en route, but it will take many years), demand will be strongly tied to economic activity. And since supplies are relatively fixed and increase as prices rise (moderating the influence of supply), that means demand (economic activity) will be the main influence on prices.

    That said, there will be lots of volatility (especially if investors think oil is an opportunity for greater returns), and the refiners will use their market leverage to keep gasoline higher whenever possible, regardless of how cheap oil gets. We probably won't see $2 gas again - ever - but I'm not worried about $6 gas anytime soon either. Unfortunately that removes the incentive to make those structural changes which would also limit the carbon impacts on climate.
     
  19. cwerdna

    cwerdna Senior Member

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    Partly contributing to the lower prices is that people who don't have jobs don't have a commute anymore, so they buy less gas.

    My dad's a perfect example of that. The company he was at shutdown so he now buys gas only once a month. Previously, his commute was ~22 miles, one way that he made in his 02 RAV4.
     
  20. toxicity

    toxicity A/C Hog

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    I think the best system would be where gasoline is taxed such that it remains at a constant $3.50/gallon to CONSUMERS. Commercial and industrial uses would be untaxed, as they generate economic growth. If the true cost of gas approached $3.50, then instead of paying $7.00/gallon, the government could cut out its tax on gasoline so the price would remain stable at $3.50/gallon. Consumers would be partially unaffected by gas prices in that case. They would still have to pay more for food and goods as the cost of industrial/commercial fuel went up. However it would send the country into less of a tail-spin than what happened in 2008. The government considered then eliminating the gas tax to help consumers but ultimately decided against it as losing 18 cents off $4.00/gallon would not help much.