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Influence of speed, temperature, and weight on MPG

Discussion in 'Gen 3 Prius Fuel Economy' started by Indyking, Nov 11, 2009.

  1. Indyking

    Indyking Happy Hyundai owner...

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    Do you think though that it is safe to grill block in the hwy? I thought about buying the scangauge and block it, but then, second thoughts were telling me that grill block will have negligible impact in my MPG because it's 99% hwy only.

    But now, after the comments, I'm starting to reconsider it. Seems like partially blocking the upper grill would be the ideal in my situation, what do you think?
     
  2. a64pilot

    a64pilot Active Member

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    There is an entire thread about grill blocking strategy, I would look there. I haven't read it as it doesn't get cold enough down here to justify it, I didn't think, and my wife drives the car more than I do, making it impractical as she would not monitor temp.
    I would have thought that at steady high speeds where the ICE was always on and at relatively high power, that heat output would be way more than enough to keep the engine at 190f, even if you were running the interior heater at full blast. I wouldn't think that grill blocking would be necessary in such a situation, but without some form of coolant temp gauge, it's just speculation.
    I would not block anything without a way to monitor temp, heck I don't like the fact that I can't monitor oil pressure, that really bugs me, but I guess I'll just have to get over it as I don't think I'l add an oil PSI gauge.
     
  3. a64pilot

    a64pilot Active Member

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  4. Indyking

    Indyking Happy Hyundai owner...

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    How much was the engine water temp during the summer? Just curious.
     
  5. spiderman

    spiderman wretched

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    Big time. The higher I have my temp set, the longer my ICE runs even @ stops. Big hit. I just leave my set @ 66 now.
     
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  6. a64pilot

    a64pilot Active Member

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    During Summer and during highway driving now, it runs between 190 and 195 or so. It's in town driving around at 45 MPH or less that the temp seems to not reach 190 or even near that.
     
  7. Indyking

    Indyking Happy Hyundai owner...

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    OK folks, attached are 3 more charts from 22 trips now. Details of my 99% hwy trips can be found in the beginning of my thread:

    http://priuschat.com/forums/gen-iii-2010-prius-fuel-economy/71937-influence-speed-temperature-weight-mpg.html#post999481

    This time, for these 22 360-mile-long hwy trips, I'm only evaluating the MPG (real instead of calculated unlike last time) vs. speed (MPH) and air temperature. A more detailed analysis with influence of cargo weight, heater, rain, snow, etc, will be prepared later next year when I collect 100 trips and go through a full cycle of 4 weather seasons. I showed my preliminary data to my dealer and they are going to send the final analysis to Toyota’s attention. They guaranteed that someone in Toyota is going to actually study my data and reply to it. We'll see.

    Chart 1- MPG (blue line) vs. TEMP (yellow line) - The trendlines in black show pretty clear that the lower temperature the lower the MPG. Note how consistently and considerably lower are the MPG numbers compared to the hwy EPA estimate (red line).

    Chart 2- MPG (blue line) vs. average speed or MPH (pink line) - The black trendlines show a disconnect between MPG and MPH. Although there is a tendency for higher speeds resulting in lower MPGs, the "belly' shape of the MPH trendline indicates that lower speeds not necessarily improve your MPG (and vice versa) because temperature is the major factor! I'm particularly stressing this point because many folks have argument that the reason for my MPG drop is my high-speed habits. Not true, as my data nicely proves my point. Also note that my MPHs are between 55 and 69, which is not that fast. While I do cruise at 75 MPH most of the time, there are always several areas of constructions, traffic, intersections, etc, that help to bring my average speed down and to improve the MPG. My average speed is more often around 66-67 as you can see in the chart.

    Chart 3 is a combination of all data. There are several points for discussion between trips, but I will just pick one I like: compare trips 14 and 19. Note the marked difference in MPH on both, with trip 14 being my fastest so far. Note that the MPG in trip 19 was considerably lower despite of the much slower MPH. Guess why? You bet... LOW TEMPERATURE... 2010 Prius' worst enemy!
     

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  8. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    The aerodynamic drag is proportional to air density and the velocity squared. Using the Wiki table:
    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5
    0 C F density drag MPG/ (drag**2)
    1 -25 -13 1.423 116% 38.5
    2 -20 -4 1.395 114% 40.1
    3 -15 5 1.368 112% 41.7
    4 -10 14 1.342 110% 43.3
    5 -5 23 1.317 108% 45.0
    6 0 32 1.292 105% 46.7
    7 5 41 1.269 104% 48.5
    8 10 50 1.247 102% 50.2
    9 15 59 1.225 100% 52.0
    10 20 68 1.204 98% 53.8
    11 25 77 1.184 97% 55.7
    12 30 86 1.164 95% 57.6
    13 35 95 1.146 94% 59.4
    Hope this helps.

    Bob Wilson
     
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  9. DeadPhish

    DeadPhish Senior Member

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    Good data and good reporting. It's very well done.
     
  10. usbseawolf2000

    usbseawolf2000 HSD PhD

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    Indy,

    Did you also record the road condition? Any of those days were raining? Snowing?
     
  11. tpfun

    tpfun New Member

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    Looks like the EPA needs to expand their fuel economy tests based on winter/summer driving.
     
  12. Indyking

    Indyking Happy Hyundai owner...

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    Thank you!

    The data was somewhat surprising even to my dealership techs and their manager, as they were under the impression that the winter MPG drop was primarily seen in short trips, mainly with city driving. Warm-up time is negligible in these essentially hwy-only trips and they are long enough (360 mile) to offset brief periods of light rain/snow or occasional high-speed sprints.

    My first long report, which my dealership manager will forward to Toyota for analysis, will have 100 trips with all-year-long temperatures included and real statistics.

    Santa brought me a scangauge and I will observe the water temperature in a couple of trips before I consider grill blocking. That water temperature data will also be very important for my report I believe.

    Again, I'm very glad that people found usefulness in my data!
     
  13. Indyking

    Indyking Happy Hyundai owner...

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    Besides temp and MPH, for all trips, I recorded:

    - Rain/snow: duration and intensity
    - Cargo weight: not the exact weight but a good estimate of light, moderate, or heavy.
    - Heater: duration, temperature.
    - Defroster: duration
    - A/C: Have not used it yet in my trips, but will record duration and temperature when time arrives (mid-spring until mid-fall for me)
    - Tire pressure.

    The one thing I did not record because I found it difficult to determine given the high variability along the way was wind direction and intensity. I know wind can have an influence but I believe that small piece won't have a significant impact in the final statistics considering all the other factors.

    I also recorded gas brand for each trip, but I decided that factor is probably irrelevant in my case as I always use only 2-3 gas stations, either shell or speedway.
     
  14. Indyking

    Indyking Happy Hyundai owner...

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    Attached is another chart, this one shows the MPG gap between MID-indicated and calculated at the pump using the gas cubby application for iPhone (labeled real MPG) for all the 22 trips recorded so far. The gap can be anything from -2.97% to -10.6%, with average of -6.19%. I don't see anything obvious in my data to explain such high variability between indicated and calculated MPG. This piece is intriguing me as I try to be as consistent as possible during all my fill-ups. I fill up in the high setting until it clicks, then I wait for about a minute for the fumes to fade away and then set it back in the low setting until it clicks again (very quick in the Prius) and I'm done.
     

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  15. kgall

    kgall Active Member

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    Great stuff, Indyking!

    Have you done a regression analysis (is that the right name, statisticians????) to figure out the contribution of each measured factor (particularly speed and air temp) to MPG variability?

    Statisticians, given the amount/type of data presented here, can he do what I'm suggesting?

    BTW, one thing I find is that avg mph for a "trip" (usually a gas tank, for me) is not a good indicator of actual gas-sucking speed--i.e., a trip with a lot of 75 mph cruising and a lot of sitting around in traffic may show up with a lower average mph than a trip with a lot of 65 mph cruising--even though MPG loss from excessive speed will be greater in the trip with 75 cruising.
    The way Indyking describes his trips, this shouldn't be a problem for his data--but it may be a problem for the rest of us trying to reproduce his results.
     
  16. Rokeby

    Rokeby Member

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    Wind speed and velocity has a major effect on FE for all vehicles.
    The more aerodynamic the vehicle, the greater the effect. Wind
    direction becomes important as little as +/- 15 deg off the vehicle
    centerline. The result is that the airstream does not wholly flow over
    the body from front to rear. Some of the air, increasing as the off-
    center angle increases, "spills" over the side of the vehicle, causing
    major turbulence --> increased drag --> decreased FE/MPGs. :(

    There have been a number of discussions on this matter in the past.
    Here are three samples: (Granted, these are Gen II based, but the
    effect noted is universal.)

    http://priuschat.com/forums/gen-ii-prius-fuel-economy/44843-wind-how-much-affect.html

    http://priuschat.com/forums/gen-ii-prius-fuel-economy/39537-weather-conditions-effect-mpg.html

    http://priuschat.com/forums/gen-ii-prius-main-forum/15448-wind-effect-prius.html

    A trip between Indiana and Michigan would mostly be perpendicular
    to the westerly prevailing winds. Even small wind velocities could
    result in non-centerline air flow over the car and significant FE/MPG
    hits. Could it be that in the Midwest, cold temps are typically
    connected with MPG robbing winds from the west? :noidea:

    As noted in the second thread, there is a Prius MPG Simulator here:
    Prius Palm Mileage Simulator . Keeping all other variables constant
    you can fiddle with wind velocity and direction and see their
    insidious effect. :mad:
     
  17. Indyking

    Indyking Happy Hyundai owner...

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    Very good points! I do know a bit of statistics myself, and I believe analysis of variance will be the most adequate test to be used, but I will wait for a larger sampling (100 trips) and a whole-year of temperature changes before the final analysis with the statistics.

    You are right about the MPH. Even in my trip conditions, I have a few reservations about it but I can't find a better way to capture my speed. My cruising speeds are generally either 75 MPH (60%) or 70 MPH (30%) with the remaining 10% being lower speeds (40-55MPH) in areas of construction, traffic, etc. That kind of pattern is pretty similar among all my trips. Lower MPHs in my trips simply means increases in the remaining minority pool (traffic, constructions, etc), which helps to improve the overall MPG, so I do think MPH has a good representation of speed influences in my trips.
     
  18. Indyking

    Indyking Happy Hyundai owner...

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    I know and I agree but the few times (maybe 3 or 4 attempts) I tried to measure wind, it was a mess. Every 80 miles or so I would check the wind intensity and direction in my iPhone and it varied so much along the way that I just gave up. I drive mostly on the diagonal (not straight angle) east-west axis with less on the north-south axis (probably around 20-30%).

    I’m hoping to minimize the effects of wind by a large sampling and I believe it is quite possible considering all the other factors I can record and include in the statistics.
     
  19. Rokeby

    Rokeby Member

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    Re: Influence of all kinds of stuff on MPG

    From my point of view as a driver keenly interested in all things
    effecting FE/MPGs, this exercise is interesting. But, I wonder if there is
    any way to tease apart the many factors known to influence FE/MPGs
    in an exercise conducted in an open, uncontrolled experimental
    environment looking to isolate the contribution of OAT alone.

    It is a widely accepted fact that all else being equal, the Prius gets
    best FE/MPGs at outside air temperatures (OAT) roughly between 55
    and 75 degF. As OATs go higher, but more significantly for this
    exercise lower, FE/MPGs vary in a non linear way. This was
    acknowledged in the OP: "I'm convinced that temperature is the major
    factor considering the speed range I drove so far."

    It is also known that OAT is not the only factor that influences
    FE/MPGs. Other factors so far identified in this exercise include:
    * terrain
    * velocity
    * vehicle load
    * rain -- presumably standing water on the road surface
    * Use of heater to warm the passenger space
    * ICE block temperatures -- use/nonuse of grill blocking
    * tire pressure (constant? TP drops ~1psi each 10 degF drop in OAT)
    * traffic levels
    * Consistency of fuel fill-up volumes

    Other factors mentioned in the exercise but not recorded/considered
    significant include:
    * humidity
    *Atmospheric pressure as as factor in increased "drag"
    * wind velocity and direction -- more telling, the angle of departure
    from the vehicle centerline

    Other known factors not mentioned to date include:
    * windshield and hatch glass defrosting
    * "winter gas"
    * possible aerodynamic contribution of grill blocking
    * "Human factor"
    * use of Cruise Control (to reduce the human factor")

    Other indirect factor which may influence FE/MPG :
    * time trips were made --driver attention when driving in darkness
    vs. daylight

    This is from another forum, it illustrates the many factors that
    contribute to cold weather MPG reduction:

    Anyway,at 20-degrees F, compared to SAE's standard 60-degrees,
    on a day with standard barometric pressure, the air density would
    be over 8% higher, and your drag would consequently be 8% higher.
    At your colder temps, it's even worse.
    Factor in that your tires are "cold" at 70-degrees F, and that even
    after 22-miles of continuous driving, when you reach your warmed-up
    equilibrium temp for all lubes and coolant, those temps are still less
    than during warmer weather.
    Thick oil, tranny fluid, gear oil, coolant, hard tire rubber, and denser
    air, all conspiring to kick your butt at the gas pump.


    Is it really possible that through statistical manipulation the
    contribution of all the above factors can be identified, isolated, and
    removed from the effect of OAT alone?
     
  20. Indyking

    Indyking Happy Hyundai owner...

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